A German pick for today! 德乙 不来梅VS因戈施塔
2022-02-19

Borja

外籍分析师

德乙

02/19 20:30

已完赛

解读理由:

The line is just crazy here, and I am sure that it doesnt reflect the real balance of power on pitch. Yes, Bremen is on an amazing winning streak, and I also know that Ingolstadt are almost safely relegated already.

But Ingolstadt among Rehm is not comparable with the Ingolstadt of long durations of the season. With a couple of smart signings in the winter break, they significantly improved especially their offensive.

Also, their team spirit seems better, and they definitely still have hope. At their last away game, they achieved a richly deserved 5:0 win at Nurnberg. It was a crazy strong performance, and the 5:0 was by no means too high. They even missed a couple of golden chances in the first half. Their pressing was excellent, and with this playing style, they are a dangerous opponent for any team in the league.

Last weekend, they only tied 0:0 with Sandhausen which was disappointing. But against Sandhausen, it was a completely different game. They had to make the running against a very defensive opponent. Furthermore, several key players were spontaneously out due to (wrongly) positive covid-tests. They are all going to return to the squad for the Bremen-match. Only important midfielder Sarpei will be out after his Red Card from last week.

About Bremen there is not so much to say. They are among the best teams in the league, but they are also not an outstanding side or so. Their strikers have a run, and they even win rather close matches like the one in Rostock (2:1) the previous week. Everybody expects another win against Ingolstadt. But it's still Bundesliga 2, and psychologically, it's maybe not the easiest thing to play against Ingolstadt.

What we should furthermore consider are the crazy weather conditions that are expected. There will be squalls with over 100 km/h and all in all very difficult conditions. This is logically a disadvantage for Bremen, who will make the game. Ingolstadt may benefit from that with their low ball possession/pressing/long balls style.

I really like the +1.5 on Ingolstadt here. If Bremen will win, then 1:0 or 2:1 are the most likely results. They are not the type of team that destroys their opponents. Ingolstadt have nothing to lose here, and they are best as underdogs. Then, ultimately, the extreme weather conditions should be beneficial for the big plus handicap as well.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这让球太疯狂了,我敢肯定它并不能反映出球场上真正的力量平衡。是的,不来梅正处于惊人的连胜状态,我也知道因戈尔施塔特几乎已经被降级了。

但因戈尔施塔特在雷姆之间是无法与因戈尔施塔特相比的漫长的赛季。在寒假签下了几个漂亮的球员后,他们的进攻能力有了明显的提高。

此外,他们的团队精神似乎更好了,他们肯定还有希望。在他们最后一场客场比赛中,他们在纽伦堡取得了一场应得的5:0的胜利。这是一个疯狂的强劲的表现,5:0一点也不高。他们甚至在上半场错失了几次绝佳的机会。他们的紧逼非常出色,这种打法对联盟中任何球队来说都是一个危险的对手。

上周末,他们与桑德豪森仅0:0打平,这令人失望。但对桑德豪森,这是一场完全不同的比赛。他们必须在防守非常严密的对手面前跑动。此外,由于新冠病毒检测结果(错误地)呈阳性,几个关键国家也自动退出了比赛。他们都将回到队中参加不来梅的比赛。只有重要的中场球员萨尔佩将在红牌后缺席。

关于不来梅,可说的不多。他们是联盟中最好的球队之一,但他们也不是一支优秀的球队。他们的前锋有一个良好的势头,他们甚至赢得了相当接近的比赛,比如上周在罗斯托克(2:1)的比赛。每个人都希望能再次战胜因戈尔施塔特。但这仍然是德甲2,从心理上来说,和因戈尔施塔特比赛可能不是一件容易的事情。

我们应该进一步考虑的是预计会出现的疯狂天气状况。将会有超过100公里/小时的暴风,所有这些都是非常困难的条件。从逻辑上来说,这是不来梅的劣势。英戈尔施塔特可能会从他们的低控球/压制/长传风格中受益。

真的很喜欢因戈尔施塔特的+1.5。如果不来梅获胜,那么1:0或2:1是最有可能的结果。他们不是那种能摧毁对手的球队。因戈尔施塔特在这里没什么可失去的,他们是最好的弱者。然后,最终,极端的天气条件也应该有利于让球打不出来。

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