Simply the best bet for Friday night 精选葡超分享
2022-02-18

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外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Benfica is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win.

Benfica have really solid record against Boavista as they won 11 of last 16 matches against them.

It's important game for guests, they are on third place at the moment. Chances for title are slim because they are already 10 points behind Porto, but for sure they wants to finish inside top2 to have guaranteed place in Champions League without qualifications. Currently on second place is Sporting (Benfica the biggest enemies) and this is additional motivation.

In comparison to the previous round, Benfica don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in last game against Santa Clara.

Benfica should be able to control this game without any problems. They are the best team with the ball in whole league. Their average ball possession in current season: 64.3% (467 accurate passes per game). On the other hand Boavista is one of the worst team with the ball in whole league. Their average ball possession: 43.1% (269 accurate passes per game). In addition to that they are without central midfielder Vukotic (14 matches, loaned from Benfica).

Benfica as well shouldn't have any problems with goalscoring - they have the best offensive formation in competition. 58 goals scored in 22 matches - impressive achievement, no doubt about it. Their superb striker Darwin Nunez (already 18 league goals) is in red hot form as he scored 3 goals in last two league matches and he will be very hard to stop. Boavista formation don't have any stability at the moment - they conceded at least one goal in last 8 matches in a row (Benfica scored at least one goal in last 9). In last two matches Boavista played against Vizela at home (2:2) and Portimonense on away (1:1). They had a lot of luck in those matches as their opponents had 41 shots together! In both matches expected goals conceded number were above 1.98 (Benfica in last two matches had expected goals scored number above 2.07). In addition to that, today Boavista will play without their two key defenders Abascal and Porozo (both played in last round, both are suspended). Other key defender Hamache is doubtful. I simply cannot imagine clean sheet for them against Benfica.

All in all, Benfica shouldn't have any problems to control this game and score at least two goals - that should be enough to make 3 points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,本菲卡是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球队,他们应该能够轻松取胜。

本菲卡在对博阿维斯塔的比赛中有很好的表现,他们在过去16场对博阿维斯塔的比赛中赢了11场。

这对客人来说是一场重要的比赛,他们目前排名第三。他们夺冠的机会很渺茫,因为他们已经落后波尔图10分了,但可以肯定的是,他们想要进入前二,以确保在没有资格的情况下进入欧冠。目前排名第二的是Sporting(本菲卡是最大的敌人),这是额外的动力。

与上一轮相比,本菲卡没有任何新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一场对阵圣克拉拉的比赛完全一样。

本菲卡应该能够毫无问题地控制这场比赛。他们是全联盟最好的球队。他们本赛季的平均控球率为64.3%(场均467次准确传球)。另一方面,博阿维斯塔是整个联盟中持球最差的球队之一。他们的平均控球率为43.1%(每场比赛269次准确传球)。除此之外,他们还没有中场中锋武科蒂奇(从本菲卡租借过来的14场比赛)。

本菲卡在进球方面也不会有什么问题,因为他们拥有比赛中最好的进攻阵型。22场比赛进了58个球——令人印象深刻的成就,毫无疑问。他们的超级前锋达尔文·努涅斯(已经18个联赛进球)状态火热,他在最近的两场联赛中进了3个球,他将很难被阻止。博阿维斯塔的阵型现在没有任何稳定性——他们在最近8场比赛中至少丢了一个球(本菲卡在最近9场比赛中至少进了一个球)。在最近两场比赛中,博阿维斯塔主场对阵维泽拉(2:2),客场对阵波蒂莫内塞(1:1)。他们在这些比赛中运气很好,他们的对手一起有41次射门!两场比赛的预期失球数都在1.98以上(本菲卡前两场比赛的预期失球数在2.07以上)。除此之外,今天博阿维斯塔的两名关键后卫阿巴斯卡尔和波罗佐将缺席比赛(两人都参加了上一轮比赛,都被禁赛)。其他关键后卫Hamache则持怀疑态度。我简直无法想象他们对本菲卡的比赛是什么样子。

总而言之,本菲卡应该不会有任何问题来控制这场比赛,并至少进两个球——这应该足以进3分。

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