In my opinion Peterborough have really good chances to make positive result in today's match up. They deserved to be a bigger favorite in this game. For me +0 AH looks like really smart choice, I don't see their loss (at least one point, good possibility for 3).

Reading have horrible at this stadium. They played 17 matches at London Road and they recorded only 2 wins (10 losses in the process). According to the reports, pitch condition is very poor and that should be advantage for the hosts because they know their ground very well. We can expect as well strong crowd support because this is extremely important match for the league table and is game under the lights.

Both clubs are totally different - Peterborough is extremely pumped for this game, for them is already achievement to play in Championship. They will give absolutely everything to avoid relegation at the end of the season. Players are fighting for club because they are thankful for the chance from the club to play on this level. On the other hand Reading is in horrible moment - so many overpaid players in the team, they don't care too much about club future (many of them not have long contract or they will find new club on this level without big problems like John Swift or Joao). There is so many rumours about coach Veljko Paunovic - that may be his last match on the Reading bench. Atmosphere in team is very bad.

Reading is in awful form - they lost last 8 matches in a row in all competitions. They lost in Cup against non League club from Kidderminster or they lost 0:7 at home against Fulham.. In those 8 matches they conceded 26 goals!

In Peterborough is many more positive news - they have deep run in FA Cup and they will play in round of 16 against Manchester City. In last round match they played at home against Preston - they lost 0:1, but that was totally undeserved result. Expected goals scored for Peterborough 1.74, for Preston 0.46. Hosts played on good level and if they continue to play this way that should be enough to expose poor Reading.

Peterborough coming to this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. On the other hand Reading have one new important missing - they are without winger Hoilett - he recorded assist in last round.

Peterborough is much better home team than Reading is away team, no doubt about that. Peterborough didn't lost in 8 of 14 home matches: expected goals scored 15.47, expected goals conceded 20.90. Reading lost 10 of 14 away matches: expected goals scored 13.12, expected goals conceded 27.51. Difference is huge.

I trust Peterborough.

在我看来，彼得堡联在今天的比赛中有很好的机会取得积极的成绩。他们理应成为这场比赛中的热门。对我来说，主队不败看起来是非常明智的选择，我不认为他们会输（至少 1 分，3 分的可能性很大）。

雷丁在这座球场的成绩很糟糕。他们在伦敦路打了 17 场比赛，只取得了 2 场胜利（输了 10 场）。据报道，球场条件很差，这对东道主来说应该是有利的，因为他们非常了解自己的场地。我们也可以期待主队得到观众的支持，因为这对联赛表来说是极其重要的比赛。

两家俱乐部是完全不同的——彼得伯勒对这场比赛非常兴奋，因为他们已经取得了参加冠军赛的成就。他们将竭尽全力避免在赛季末降级。球员们正在为俱乐部而战，因为他们感谢俱乐部有机会在此比赛等级。另一方面，雷丁正处于糟糕的状态——球队中有这么多高薪球员，他们不太关心俱乐部的未来（他们中的许多人没有长期合同，或者他们会在没有像约翰这样大问题的情况下找到这个级别的新俱乐部斯威夫特或若昂）。关于主教练韦利科·保诺维奇的传闻太多了——这可能是他在雷丁的最后一场比赛。球队气氛非常糟糕。

雷丁的状态很糟糕——他们在所有比赛中连续输掉了8场比赛。他们在杯赛中输给了来自基德明斯特的非联赛俱乐部，或者他们在主场以 0:7 输给了富勒姆。在这 8 场比赛中，他们丢了 26 个球！

彼得堡联还有更多积极的消息——他们在足总杯中表现出色，他们将在第 16 轮对阵曼城。在上轮比赛中，他们在主场迎战普雷斯顿——他们以 0:1 输掉了比赛，但那是完全不该有的结果。彼得堡联的预期进球为 1.74，普雷斯顿为 0.46。主队打得很好，如果他们继续打这个这种方式应该足以暴露糟糕的雷丁。

彼得堡联在没有任何新缺席的情况下参加了这场比赛，因此他们的阵容应该看起来与上一轮完全相同。另一方面，雷丁有一个新的重要缺阵——他们没有边锋霍伊莱特——他在上轮录得助攻。

毫无疑问，彼得堡联比雷丁的客队要好得多。彼得堡联在 14 场主场比赛中有 8 场没有输球：预期进球 15.47，预期失球 20.90。雷丁14个客场输了10场：预期进球13.12，预期失球27.51。差距是巨大的。

我相信彼得堡联不败。