There is a couple of reasons why do I think we got value in backing Spezia's double chance here. We can put this bet in the gambling category, but yeah, the odds are decent and worth of gambling.

Spezia are doing well in the recent period as they have 3 wins in the last 4 games. The most recent draw came on the road against desperate Salernitana who had that game all in to win. But Spezia managed to get back twice in the game and hold the nasty opponents for a final 2-2 result. Now, the coach Thiago Motta wants to continue his good job on the bench and help his team to secure survival before April and May if possible. Right now, hosts are 5 points above the first team in red zone Cagliari, with the game less, so you can imagine how 3 points would be celebrated tonight amongst the fans if a home win happens.

Fiorentina have only 1 victory in their last 5 Serie A games. Most recently they had a Cup game against Atalanta and were lucky to win by the late Nikola Milenkovic screamer, a really amazing goal by Serbian defender which brought them a victory against the team from Bergamo. Leaving of best player Dusan Vlahovic will leave an impact on the Viola team, despite new signings in attack, sooner or later. New striker Piatek looked well in the game against Atalanta, but who can guarantee you he will continue with good performances? To be fair, between the two teams today, Fiorentina have better players but the continuity doesn't exist in Fiorentina in 2022. Better said, they play hot & cold games.

Hosts scored 12 goals at home this season in league and Fiorentina scored the same number of goals on the road this season in the league. When it comes to deeper statistical analysis, we can see that Spezia is making 1.25 xG goals at home while Fiorentina makes 1.3 on the road in this season (Serie A) so it all points to a close match where a draw could be a solid option for both sides. Also, Fiorentina could be more tired for this one as they had a game in midweek while Spezia had a full week to prepare for this match.

It's a risky bet as I said because Viola got better names in their squad, but not always better names win the football match. If I have to predict a result here, I would say 2-2.

我们支持斯佩齐亚不败有几个原因。回报非常丰厚。

斯佩齐亚近段时间表现不错，近4场比赛取得3胜。最近的一场平局是对阵萨勒尼塔纳，后者全力以赴。但斯佩齐亚在比赛中两次成功扳平比分，并以 2-2 的比分拿到了平局。现在，主帅蒂亚戈-莫塔希望继续做好他的工作，如果可能的话，帮助球队在4月和5月之前保级。目前，主队领先卡利亚里 5 分，少赛一场，所以可以主场获胜，今晚球迷将会庆祝三分。

佛罗伦萨近5场意甲联赛仅取得1场胜利。最近他们与亚特兰大进行了一场杯赛，并幸运赢下比赛，塞尔维亚后卫米伦科维奇的精彩进球让他们在对阵贝加莫队的比赛中取得了胜利。最好的球员杜桑·弗拉霍维奇（Dusan Vlahovic）的离开将对紫百合队产生影响，尽管他们也有新的锋线引援。新前锋皮亚特克在对阵亚特兰大的比赛中表现出色，但谁能保证他会继续保持出色的表现？公平地说，在今天的两支球队中，佛罗伦萨有强大的球员，但在 2022 年的佛罗伦萨稳定性很差。更确切地说，他们总是在赢球之后爆冷。

主队本赛季联赛主场打进12球，佛罗伦萨本赛季联赛客场进球数相同。当涉及到更深入的统计分析时，我们可以看到斯佩齐亚在本赛季（意甲）主场场均预期进球 1.25 个 ，而佛罗伦萨在客场场均预期进球 1.3 个（意甲），因此这一切都表明一场势均力敌的比赛，平局可能是一个不错的选择为双方。此外，佛罗伦萨可能会更累，因为他们在周中进行了一场比赛而斯佩齐亚有整整一周的时间来准备这场比赛。

正如我所说，这是一个冒险的选择，因为佛罗伦萨的实力更强，但并不总是更好的球队赢得足球比赛。我预测斯佩齐亚不败，比分参考2-2。