REAL SOCIEDAD - GRANADA

Real Sociedad is in a bad run after an excellent start to the campaign. They are now sitting 7th on the table, out of European spots which is their target. The reason is three consecutive games without achieve a victory and even worse: without scoring a single goal.

The lack of goal is hurting them a lot, as they have several top strikers in bad form, especially Isak.

The problem in the recent weeks has been as well the amount of missings they had due to injuries and covid, but several key players are back and fully available, like Merino and Silva.

Seeing the positive side, they are showing a very good defense, it’s a really solid side at the back and difficult to beat. In fact, they have the fourth best defense of the league after conceding just 21 goals in 22 games.

On the other hand we have a relegation team like Granada, who is in the middle of the table, and showing very irregular performances. A key player like Machis was going to leave the club but it seems that finally the transfer will be canceled. Anyway, he won’t be available for this match.

Away from home they have achieved only one victory after 12 games played: against bottom side Levante.

They are a very vulnerable team, especially in defense where they are conceding a lot. In fact they are the team of La Liga who have received more shots and more shots on target so far, which means that playing against a rival with quality upfront (like Real Sociedad) they will surely concede goals.

I’m expecting a match dominated by Real Sociedad and hopefully, with some goal scored. Hosts need the three points urgently to continue at the top, and I’m expecting a difficult match for the guests. If Real Sociedad makes a good game as they can do, with high pressure and fast football, they should be able to dominate and beat a vulnerable and weak team like Granada.

ALAVES - VALENCIA

Difference in motivation here.

For Alaves this is a final. They are 19th on the table, 6 points below safe zone, and the next matches will be Real Madrid (away), Getafe (away, very difficult game), Sevilla and Real Sociedad (away). It means a very difficult calendar with very few chances to get points, so this match is really important. If they lose today, they will make a big step towards relegation, as the difference is already big.

They have problems at the back (38 goals conceded, 2nd worst defense of La Liga) and upfront (17 goals scored, worst attack of La Liga), where only striker Joselu is scoring goals (11 so far). But sometimes, motivation is enough to play a good game and achieve the target, like I’m expecting today.

With new coach Mendilibar aren’t performing badly at home, as they achieved three draws (Real Sociedad, Athletic Club, Getafe) and were very close to achieve it as well vs Barcelona where they lost 0:1 conceding a goal at 88’ and making a good performance.

On the other hand we have a team who may be “distracted”, like Valencia. They played this midweek a very important game in the Cup (semifinals vs Athletic) where they drew 1:1, and in 2 weeks will play the second leg again.

They are so far from European spots (5 points below with strong rivals performing well), and they know that they have real chances to win the Spanish Cup and have the right to play in the Europa League next season. The rival in the final will be Betis or Rayo Vallecano, so it’s totally acceptable and a real target.

So I’m pretty sure that players will be distracted and focused on the important game in the next weeks vs Athletic (Cup semifinals second leg). And we need to add also the physical aspect, where they should be more tired than Alaves.

Alaves should be heavily motivated in this final for them, while for Valencia the important game is against Athletic in the Cup. Furthermore, the guests have won only 3 away games so far (11 played).

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

皇家社会-格拉纳达

皇家社会在赛季有了一个很好的开始之后，现在的表现很糟糕。他们现在排在第七位，而欧洲是他们的目标。原因是连续三场比赛都没有取得胜利，更糟糕的是:没有进一球。

缺少进球让他们很受伤，因为他们有几个顶级射手状态不佳，尤其是伊萨克。

最近几周的问题还包括由于伤病和新冠肺炎而缺阵的球员数量，但几名关键球员已经回来并完全可以上场，比如美利诺和席尔瓦。

从积极的方面来看，他们的防守非常好，这是一支非常稳固的后防线，很难被击败。事实上，他们在22场比赛中只丢了21个球，拥有联盟第四好的防守。

另一方面，我们有一支像格拉纳达这样的降级队，他们在积分榜上处于中间位置，表现非常不稳定。像Machis这样的关键球员本来打算离开俱乐部，但看起来这次转会最终还是会被取消。无论如何，他不能参加这场比赛。

客场他们在12场比赛后只取得了一场胜利:对底部的莱万特。

他们是一支非常脆弱的球队，特别是在防守上，他们丢了很多球。事实上，到目前为止，他们是西甲中射门次数最多、射正次数最多的球队，这就意味着面对一个有着高水平的对手(比如皇家社会)，他们肯定会失球。

我期待一场由皇家社会主导的比赛，希望能有进球。东道主迫切需要三分来保持榜首的位置，我预计这将是一场艰难的比赛。如果皇家社会能打出一场他们能做到的好比赛，高压和快速的足球，他们应该能够统治并击败像格拉纳达这样脆弱的球队。

阿拉维斯-瓦伦西亚

动机不同。

对于阿拉维斯来说，这是一场决赛。他们在积分榜上排名第19，比安全区域低6分，接下来的比赛将是皇家马德里(客场)，赫塔菲(客场，非常困难的比赛)，塞维利亚和皇家社会(客场)。这意味着这是一场非常艰难的比赛，得分机会非常少，所以这场比赛非常重要。如果他们今天输了，他们将向降级迈进一大步，因为差距已经很大了。

他们的后防线(失38球，西甲第二糟糕的防守)和前场防线(17球，西甲最糟糕的进攻)都存在问题，只有前锋何塞卢(到目前为止有11个进球)。但有时候，动机就足以让我玩好游戏并达到目标，就像我今天所期待的那样。

在新教练门迪利巴的带领下，他们在主场的表现并不糟糕，他们取得了三场平局(皇家社会，体育俱乐部，赫塔菲)，并且在对阵巴萨时也很接近于这一成绩，后者在88分钟的比赛中0:1输掉了一球，并且表现出色。

另一方面，我们的球队可能会“分心”，比如瓦伦西亚。他们在周中进行了一场非常重要的杯赛(半决赛对阵竞技)，他们1:1打平，两周后将再次进行第二回合比赛。

他们离欧洲冠军还有很长的路要走(比对手低5分，而且对手表现很好)，他们知道自己有真正的机会赢得西班牙杯，并有权在下赛季参加欧罗巴联赛。决赛的对手将是贝蒂斯或瓦列卡诺，所以这是完全可以接受的，也是一个真正的目标。

所以我很确定球员们将会被分散注意力，并专注于接下来几周的重要比赛vs Athletic(杯赛半决赛第二回合)。我们还需要加上身体方面的因素，他们应该比阿拉维斯更累。

阿尔维斯应该会在这场决赛中受到极大的激励，而对瓦伦西亚来说，重要的比赛是在杯赛中对阵竞技队。此外，客人们到目前为止只赢得了3场客场比赛(11场)。