In my opinion Sevilla is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win.

Sevilla have superb record at home in La Liga against Elche. They played 19 home league matches against them and never lost (14 wins in the process). In previous season Sevilla recorded comfortable 2:0 home win against them.

Sevilla plays superb season, they are on 2nd place in league table, 6 points behind Real Madrid so they have even some chances to grab a title at the end of the season. Motivation for sure is huge to finish in top2 to have secured place in next Champions League edition. Sevilla didn't lost in last 9 consecutive La Liga matches. They failed to win in last 3 matches (3 draws) against Valencia, Celta Vigo and Osasuna, but without any shadow of doubt they deserved for more points. In each game Sevilla played better and really looks superb at the back. In each game they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents and in each game they had expected goals conceded number below 0.70.

Elche coach Francisco Rodríguez lost 3 of 4 matches against Sevilla in his managerial career. Elche had a lot of luck in last matches, it's very visible in the models. They won against Espanyol, but they shouldn't (expected goals scored for Espanyol 1.34 , for Elche 0.59), they won against Villarreal when they had 0.19 expected goals scored (!). They had draw on away against Real, but in that game Real had 4.48 expected goals scored, Elche only 0.60. They have troubles with creativity and I see big problems for them today with goalscoring against super solid Sevilla defensive formation.

I see another positive result for Sevilla at home against Elche and maybe even clean sheet for hosts.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，塞维利亚是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球队，他们应该能够轻松取胜。

塞维利亚在西甲主场对阵埃尔切的比赛中有着出色的记录。他们打了19场主场联赛，从未输过(14胜)。上个赛季，塞维利亚在主场2:0轻松战胜了他们。

塞维利亚本赛季表现出色，他们在联赛榜上排名第二，比皇家马德里落后6分，所以他们甚至有机会在赛季结束时夺取冠军。在接下来的欧冠联赛中取得前二的位置，动力是巨大的。塞维利亚在最近的9场西甲比赛中都没有输过。他们在最近的3场比赛(3平)中没有赢下瓦伦西亚，维戈塞尔塔和奥萨苏纳，但毫无疑问他们应该得到更多的分数。每一场比赛塞维利亚都踢得更好，他们的后防线看起来都很棒。在每一场比赛中，他们的预期进球数都高于对手，而且在每一场比赛中，他们的预期失球数都低于0.70。

埃尔切的教练弗朗西斯科Rodríguez在他的管理生涯中输掉了对塞维利亚的4场比赛中的3场。埃尔切在上一场比赛中有很多的运气，这在模型中很明显。他们赢了西班牙人，但他们不应该(西班牙人的预期进球为1.34，埃尔切为0.59)，他们赢了比利亚雷亚尔，他们的预期进球为0.19 (!)他们在客场战平皇马，但那场比赛皇马的预期进球为4.48个，而埃尔切只有0.60个。他们在创造力方面遇到了麻烦，我认为他们在面对塞维利亚超强的防守阵型时在进球方面存在很大的问题。

在主场对阵埃尔切的比赛中，我看到了塞维利亚的另一个积极的结果，甚至可能在主场不失球。