Wolverhampton welcome visitors from London for this English Premier round 24 clash early Friday morning Beijing time. A very balanced and probably low-scoring match is expected here. Wolverhampton are an extremely low-scoring team having scored just 19 goals so far, but, quite amazingly, have also allowed only 16 goals. Only Man City's number is lower! This is not by any means a coincidence. Wolves play with a very cautious tactic in most matches - even at home and especially against good teams.. Arsenal have indeed improved their game since the very slow start to the season. They for example lost to Brentford in the season opener after an abysmal performance and then went on to lose 0-5 to Manchester City just to mention a few lame performances from the visitors.. However, lately their have been very bad offensively having failed to score a goal in their 4 most recent matches! In their the latest five matches they have scored just once! In their most recent match they played a very disappointing match at home versus a weak team Burnley - the third worst team in this league. They did control the match but lacked offensive creativity and only recorded 1.21 in expected goals. Burnely's number was 0.45. On the 9th of January they lost to Nottingham Forest 0-1 away from home and failed to record any shots on target! Let's remember Nottingham play in the Championship, the second highest level of English football.. They surely have potential to improve but winning in Wolverhampton will be hard and I see them as extremely marginal favorites here with 36% chance to win. They do have a lot of talent in the team and spent a lot of money before the season. The betting market and the football media seem to value them a lot more than I do and their odds are once again too low, perhaps because of the quite big names they have in the squad. I expect an even more low.- scoring match than the betting-market. This increases the probability of a draw hence making our bet Wolverhampton or draw even better!

Wolverhampton have exceeded expectation this season and currently sit at 8th place in standings with 34 points. Arsenal are in the sixth place but have scored just 2 points more than the hosts.. Wolverhampton have been slightly lucky this season in terms of expected goals but for some reason they are still under-valued but the betting market. Perhaps the reason is that they do not have any super stars in the team and play "boring" defensive football.. Wolverhampton have not lost any of their latest 5 matches in the Premier League and have won 4 of their latest five matches overall. On the 3rd of January they beat Manchester United away from home 1-0 and before that forced Chelsea, the third best team in the league, to a goalless draw. A 3-1 home win versus a decent Southampton some three weeks ago was also an impressive performance! They created 2.55 in expected goals - the visitors' number was 0.82.