Not in my papers. The class differences between these two is a lot bigger!

Villarreal are the best home team in La Liga in the expected goals data with 20 xPts from 9 games, Granada are clearly the worst along with Elche, they have 7 away points from 8 games but there are a few points too many.

In the actual table Villarreal are 5th, 9 points behind leaders Atletico, but again the xG-data suggests that with a bit of better luck they might the leaders!

In their home games they have been the better side in each one of them in the xG-data. In general they have won the goal expectation against the top sides by 1 goal, against the bottom half teams by 2. In my papers Granada belong to the bottom half.

In the last two games they have shown to come back to top level after a poorer run, and they were brilliant against Celta last time around!

Villarreal were one of the few La Liga clubs to survive the cup round when they overcame Tenerife away on Sunday, and they were able to rotate rather strongly so they are relatively rested tonight. Iborra remain sidelined, as well as full-back Gaspar but there are likely no changes from latest lineups. Or maybe a positive one as top striker Paco Alcacer is about to return from injury?

Granada have been decent at home this season as well, but on their travels they are weak.

As mentioned the luck has been favourable, and the xG-table sees them at 20 points instead of 27. They had a tough cup match vs Malaga last week, and were unable to rotate their squad as it was a Andalucian derby they could not afford to lose.

What is most worrying for Granada in this game is that even if they seem to win the right games they have surrendered badly vs top teams: lost to Atletico 6-1, Sociedad 2-0, Real Madrid 2-0, Barcelona 0-4. The only win vs top-6 teams is Sevilla, but it was at home.

Granada miss midfielder Gonalons due injury, he is exactly the kind of player they would need vs teams who like to attack through the center. Remember what happened to Celta in the absence of Tapia?

3-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

比利亚雷亚尔是西甲最好的主场球队，9场比赛进球20个，格拉纳达和埃尔切显然是最差的，他们8个客场只得了7分。

在实际的积分榜上，比利亚雷亚尔排名第五，落后领头羊马竞9分，但预期进球数的数据再次表明，如果他们运气好一点，他们可能会成为领头羊!

在他们的主场比赛中，他们在每一场比赛中都表现得更好。总的来说，他们在对阵顶级球队时赢了1个球，对阵下半队时赢了2个球。格拉纳达属于下半部分。

在过去的两场比赛中，他们已经在一段糟糕的表现后回到了顶级水平，而且他们在上次对塞尔塔的比赛中表现出色!

周日客场战胜特内里费后，比利亚雷亚尔是少数几个在杯赛中幸存下来的西甲球队之一，他们的轮换非常有力，所以今晚他们相对休息得比较好。伊博拉和后卫加斯帕仍然缺席，但是最新阵容可能不会有变化。或者也许是一个积极的，因为顶级前锋帕科阿尔卡塞尔即将从伤病中复出。

格拉纳达本赛季在主场表现也不错，但在客场比赛中表现不佳。

正如前面提到的，运气很好，预期进球数表显示他们的运气值是20，而不是27。他们在上周对马拉加的杯赛上经历了一场艰苦的比赛，他们无法轮换阵容，因为这是他们输不起的安达卢西亚德比。

在这场比赛中，最让格拉纳达担心的是，即使他们似乎赢得了正确的比赛，他们也在与顶级球队的比赛中惨败:6-1输给了马竞，2-0输给了社会，0-2输给了皇家马德里，0-4输给了巴塞罗那。唯一的胜利是塞维利亚，但那是在主场。

格拉纳达由于伤病错过了中场球员戈纳隆斯，他正是他们需要的那种球员来对抗那些喜欢通过中路进攻的球队。还记得塔皮亚不在时塞尔塔发生了什么吗?

预测比分3:0。