The first leg in Lisbon finished 0-1, with that brilliant goal from Vinicius, but the scoreline did not fully reflect the superiority I saw from Madrid in key moments. They created enough to almost kill the tie there. Now, with the advantage and the Bernabéu behind them, the scenario changes completely.

Benfica have no choice. They must score. They must open up. And that is exactly the type of game Real Madrid enjoy the most. When Madrid are forced to dominate against a low block, sometimes they struggle with rhythm and patience. We saw that in Pamplona, where they were poor, lacked intensity in the press and looked disconnected. But when the opponent has to take risks, when the lines stretch and there are metres to attack, Madrid can be lethal.

Even if Kylian Mbappé is likely out with his knee problem, I still see Madrid as superior line by line. Of course, Mbappé gives you depth, goals and fear in the defender’s mind. Maybe without him you lose 20 or 30 percent of attacking power, especially in transition. But this team still has Vinicius, who for me will be the key figure again. In these European nights, he usually appears. If Benfica push their full-backs high and Richard Ríos steps forward to press, the space behind will be there. And Vinicius attacking open grass at the Bernabéu is something very few teams can survive.

Another point I consider important is the balance in midfield. With Bellingham injured, strangely enough, Madrid have sometimes looked more stable. The structure becomes clearer, the distances shorter. Against Benfica in Lisbon, when they had to defend transitions, they were solid and compact. I expect Rüdiger to return in defence, bringing leadership and aggression, especially if Pavlidis starts and Benfica try to play more direct at times.

The whole situation around Prestianni adds tension. He won't play and Benfica lose one of their most dangerous players between the lines.

Benfica need to attack, they are without Mourinho on the touchline, and their recent record away to Spanish sides is not encouraging. Two wins in fourteen away matches in Spain is not the profile of a team that comes here full of confidence.

For me, tactically, the match will have phases. I expect Benfica to press early, try to score first and create doubt. But if Madrid survive the first 20-25 minutes without conceding, the tie will tilt heavily in their favour. Because the more Benfica chase, the more space will appear. And in those moments, Madrid are ruthless. They know how to manage these European scenarios. They have done it 22 times out of 23 when winning the first leg in Europe, and that is not coincidence.

I think Benfica have quality with players like Rafa Silva or Sudakov if he starts, but over 90 minutes at the Bernabéu, needing to open up, I see Real Madrid controlling the key moments. For me, everything points to a Madrid victory and a professional job to close the tie.

在里斯本的首回合比赛以0比1结束，维尼修斯打进了一个精彩的进球，但这个比分并没有完全反映出我在关键时刻看到的马德里的优势。他们创造了足够多的东西，几乎可以杀死那里的领带。现在，有了这个优势和伯纳巴姆乌的支持，情况完全改变了。

本菲卡别无选择。他们必须得分。他们必须开放。这正是皇马最喜欢的比赛类型。当皇马被迫在低位封盖下占据统治地位时，他们有时会在节奏和耐心上挣扎。我们在潘普洛纳看到了这一点，他们很穷，在媒体上缺乏强度，看起来很脱节。但是当对手不得不冒险的时候，当线被拉长并且有进攻的空间的时候，马德里是致命的。

即使基利安·姆巴佩尔可能会因为膝盖问题而出局，我仍然认为皇马在每条线上都是领先的。当然，mbappappl给了你深度，进球和后卫心中的恐惧。也许没有他，你会失去20%或30%的进攻力量，尤其是在转换中。但这支球队还有维尼休斯，对我来说，他将再次成为关键人物。在这些欧洲的夜晚，他通常会出现。如果本菲卡把边后卫推到高位，理查德Ríos向前逼抢，后面的空间就会出现。而维尼修斯在伯纳姆乌的草地上进攻是很少有球队能做到的。

另一点我认为很重要的是中场的平衡。贝灵汉受伤后，奇怪的是，皇马有时看起来更加稳定。结构变得更清晰，距离更短。在里斯本对阵本菲卡的比赛中，当他们不得不防守换防时，他们的防守稳固而紧凑。我期待r<s:1>迪格回归防守，带来领导力和侵略性，特别是如果帕夫利迪斯首发，本菲卡有时会尝试更直接的战术。

普雷斯蒂尼周围的整个局势增加了紧张气氛。他不能上场，本菲卡失去了他们最危险的球员之一。

本菲卡需要进攻，他们在边线上没有穆里尼奥，而且他们最近客场对阵西班牙球队的战绩并不令人鼓舞。在西班牙的14场客场比赛中取得两场胜利并不是一支充满信心来到这里的球队的形象。

对我来说，在战术上，比赛将会有不同的阶段。我希望本菲卡尽早施压，争取先进球，制造悬念。但是如果皇马在前20-25分钟没有失球，那么比分将会向他们倾斜。因为本菲卡追得越多，出现的空间就越大。在那些时刻，皇马是无情的。他们知道如何应对欧洲的这些情况。在欧战首回合的23场比赛中，他们有22次做到了这一点，这并不是巧合。

我认为本菲卡有像拉法-席尔瓦或苏达科夫这样的球员，如果他首发的话，但是在伯纳姆的90分钟比赛中，需要打开局面，我看到皇马控制了关键时刻。对我来说，一切都指向马德里的胜利，并以专业的工作来结束平局。