Bayer 04 Leverkusen VS FC St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen host St. Pauli in this Bundesliga round 22 battle at BayArena in Leverkusen late Saturday evening Beijing time. However, in reality the hosts have played only 20 matches so far.  This is the first tier of German football. This is the 3rd-best league on the planet after the English Premier League and the Spanish La Liga. A match of pretty average quality by this league's standards is in the cards here! Most importantly us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won four of the last five picks betting on the Bundesliga. Leverkusen won the league in the 2023-2024 season, under the excellent manager Xabi Alonso. They lost/sold many of their best players after last season. This has had a big effect on their game. The bookies have seemingly failed to  Indeed, they are only in 6th place with 36 points to their account. This is a whopping 18 points less than the current leaders, Bayern Munich have taken. Bayern have scored 39 goals, less than Frankfurt, currently in 8th place. Leverkusen have conceded 27 goals. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 34.33. Of course Leverkusen are the better team and deserve to be favourites here but I still cannot agree with the bookies who offer odds of only about 1.50 on the home win. A professional bettor's choice is St. Pauli +1.5 goals handicap.

St. Pauli are in 17th place with 17 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 19.24. They are in a fierce battle to avoid relegation. The visitors have scored 20 goals, xG number is 22.35. Their defence is not bad - they have conceded eight goals more than Leverkusen. St. Pauli have potential for moderate improvement. Both teams have won one of their last two matches. The hosts have lost three, and the visitors four of their last eight games. In their last match Leverkusen faced Borussia Monchengladbach on the road, priced around 2.00 to win on the betting market. They were, however, disappointing. Indeed, it was a 1-1 draw. The hosts recorded four more shots on goal and one more big scoring chance. 10 days ago Leverkusen beat St. Pauli 3-0 at home in a DFB Pokal game but the xG numbers were 1.31-1.02. Indeed, the final score is extremely misleading and probably affects the odds too much here. St. Pauli even had two more total shots in this match.

GOOD LUCK!

勒沃库森VS圣保利

北京时间周六晚，德甲联赛第22轮将在勒沃库森主场迎战圣保利。然而，到目前为止，东道主只打了20场比赛。这是德国足球的第一梯队。这是世界上第三好的联赛，仅次于英超和西甲。按照这个联盟的标准，一场质量相当一般的比赛是有可能的！最重要的是，我们认真的，利润饥渴的赌徒有另一个有利可图的赌博机会在这里！我们赢了最近5次德甲抽签中的4次。勒沃库森在出色的主帅哈维·阿隆索的带领下赢得了2023-2024赛季的联赛冠军。上个赛季之后，他们失去/卖掉了许多最好的球员。这对他们的比赛产生了很大影响。博彩公司似乎失败了。事实上，他们只排在第6位，他们的账户上有36分。这比目前的领头羊拜仁慕尼黑少了18分。拜仁打入39球，比目前排名第8的法兰克福少。勒沃库森已经丢了27个球。他们的期望值（xPTS）为34.33。当然勒沃库森是一支更好的球队，应该成为这里的热门球队，但我仍然不同意博彩公司对主场胜利的赔率只有1.50左右的说法。职业投注者的选择是圣保利+1.5球障碍。

圣保利以17分排在第17位。然而，它们的期望值点数（xPTS）是19.24。他们正在为保级进行激烈的战斗。客队进了20个球，xG数字是22.35。他们的防守还不错——他们比勒沃库森多丢了8个球。圣保利有适度改善的潜力。两队最近两场比赛都赢了一场。东道主在过去的八场比赛中输了三场，客队输了四场。在他们的上一场比赛中，勒沃库森客场对阵门兴格拉德巴赫，在博彩市场上的胜率约为2.00。然而，结果令人失望。事实上，这是一场1比1的平局。主队又记录了4次射门和1次重要的得分机会。10天前勒沃库森主场3-0击败圣保利，但xG数字是1.31-1.02。事实上，最终比分极具误导性，可能会对获胜几率产生太大影响。在这场比赛中，圣保利甚至还有两次射门机会。

好运！