GKS Katowice VS Legia Warszawa

GKS Katowice welcome Legia for this Ekstraklasa round 21 battle at Stadion miejski w Katowicach in Katowice. However, in reality the hosts have played only 19 matches so far.  This is the first tier of Polish football. The level of this league is pretty high by European standards. A match of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards is expected here! Most importantly us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won a fine 15 of the last 18 picks betting on the Ekstraklasa. Last season the hosts finished in 8th place with 49 points. Legia were a little better, taking 54 points and ending up in 5th place. This season has been a massive disappointment for them - especially results-wise. Indeed, they are in 16th/18 place - in the relegation zone! Legia have grabbed a pathetic 20 points - the same number as Termalica, the rock-bottom team. According to my sources their team spirit is far from optimal. They have scored 22 goals and have allowed 25 goals. Yes, their number of expected goals (xG) is bigger but the 22 goals is the lowest number in the Ekstraklasa. It's hard to say anything positive about their offense in the Ekstraklasa this season. Legia have conceded 25 goals but their number of expected goals against (xGA) is 26.43. Yes, of course they have potential for improvement but the bookies seemingly give this potential way too much emphasis. Indeed, even with the expected line-ups, taking the significant home advantage into account, the current odds of around 2.15 on the away win are not justified. According to my strongly data-based expert analysis Legia are only very marginal favourites here. The GKS Katowice +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! Let's remember that Legia have won only one of the 10 away matches in this league this season.

I stress that Katowice have won a great three home games in a row - and four matches total. They are in 11th place with six points more to their account than the visitors. They have netted the ball 26 times and have conceded 28 goals. Their number of xG is 29.02. In their most recent game they defeated Widzew Lodz 1-0 at home - priced around 3.15 to win when the match started. They allowed the visitors only 0.38 in xG. Katowice deserved the win - recording three more big scoring chances. Before this they played very well on the road, beating Zaglebie 2-0 as pretty clear underdogs. They recorded five more total shots and six more shots on goal - 7-1 to be precise. On the 21st of last month Katowice defeated a dangerous Serbian team, TSC, 2-1 in a friendly at a neutral location. Legia have not won any of the last five matches. It has most probably hurt their level of confidence.  In their last match they were priced around 1.90 to beat Arka Gdynia on the road but it was a 2-2 draw. The visitors recorded one more big scoring chance though. Before this Legia were priced around 1.85 to take a win over Korona Kielce at home but very - once again - very disappointing! Indeed, the visitors generated more in xG and recorded three more big scoring chances. On the 22th of January Legia lost to Sparta Prague 0-1 in a friendly at a neutral location.

GOOD LUCK!

卡托维兹VS华沙军团

卡托维兹欢迎莱吉亚参加在卡托维兹的米耶斯基球场与卡托维兹的第21轮比赛。然而，到目前为止，东道主只打了19场比赛。这是波兰足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是相当高的。按照这个联盟的标准，一场质量有些平庸的比赛将在这里上演！最重要的是，我们认真的，利润饥渴的赌徒有另一个有利可图的赌博机会在这里！在过去的18次选秀中，我们赌Ekstraklasa赢了15次。上个赛季，东道主以49分排名第8。莱吉亚稍好一些，拿到54分，排在第5位。这个赛季对他们来说是巨大的失望，尤其是在结果方面。事实上，他们是在第16 /18位-在降级区！莱吉亚只拿到可怜的20分——和垫底的特尔马里卡一样。据我所知，他们的团队精神远非最佳状态。他们进了22球，丢了25球。是的，他们的预期进球数（xG）更大，但22个进球是Ekstraklasa中最低的。很难对他们本赛季的进攻做出任何肯定的评价。莱吉亚丢了25个球，但他们对xGA的预期进球数是26.43个。是的，他们当然有进步的潜力，但是博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力了。事实上，即使考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到显著的主场优势，目前客场获胜的赔率约为2.15是不合理的。根据我以数据为基础的专家分析，莱吉亚在这里只是非常边缘的热门。GKS卡托维兹+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注！让我们记住，莱吉亚本赛季在联赛的10场客场比赛中只赢了一场。

我要强调的是，卡托维兹已经连续赢得了三场主场比赛，总共赢了四场比赛。他们排在第11位，比客队多6分。他们一共打进26球，丢了28球。xG的值是29.02。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以1比0击败了维德泽·罗兹队，比赛开始时的胜率约为3.15英镑。他们只允许访客在xG中使用0.38。卡托维兹理应赢得这场胜利——他们又创造了三个重要的得分机会。在此之前，他们在客场打得很好，以2比0击败了明显处于劣势的萨格勒比。他们总共射门5次，射门6次，准确地说是7比1。上个月21日，卡托维兹在一场中立地点的友谊赛中以2比1击败了一支危险的塞尔维亚球队TSC。莱吉亚在最近的五场比赛中没有赢过一场。这很可能损害了他们的信心。在上一场客场击败格丁尼亚的比赛中，他们的定价在1.90英镑左右，但结果是2比2战平。不过客队又抓住了一个进球的机会。在此之前，莱吉亚主场击败科罗纳·凯尔切的价格在1.85左右，但非常——再一次——非常令人失望！事实上，客队在上个赛季创造了更多的机会，并创造了三个进球机会。1月22日，莱吉亚在一场友谊赛中0-1不敌布拉格斯巴达。

好运！