Last chance to qualify to 1/8 finals! 欧冠小组赛焦点战解析
2020-12-08

Borja

外籍分析师

欧冠

12/09 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

I don't see RB Leipzig winning here.

Leipzig needs only a win here to qualify. Any other result won't be enough as PSG most probably will win against Basaksehir. This means that they will have to play offensive, with spaces at the back and giving some facilities to Manchester United.

Their Champions League campaign wasn't good at all, but they suffered a lot to win against Basaksehir in the previous round 3:4 (scored the winning goal at 92’). Also won vs PSG (without several key players, almost a B team) and were destroyed by Man United in the first round 5:0. Is truth that the result until 70’ was 1-0, but also United played with some key players on the bench like Bruno Fernandes, Cavani or Rashford.

Leipzig has a genius on the bench, but the team has lack of experience in this competition and quality. They played a difficult and demanding game at the weekend against Bayern, where drew 3:3. For this match, key defender Upamecano is out (suspended).

On the other side, Manchester United just needs one point to qualify. They started the campaign in UCL pretty well, but the defeat against Basaksehir 2:1 (undeserved) and against PSG made the group interesting. They have a very good squad with experience and quality, especially one of the best midfielders in Europe - Bruno Fernandes.

They have an important meeting at the weekend against Manchester City, but for sure this match is much more important. Qualifying to the ⅛ finals is almost mandatory for the club. Cavani and Martial are out but De Gea and Luke Shaw are back and available again.

Manchester United have shown a knack for performing when under immense pressure, and might just edge past RB Leipzig in this match. United only need a point to progress to the knockout stage, and I think that English giants have enough to advance. Leipzig have conceded six goals in their last two matches, and Solskjaer's side are certainly capable of harming the Bundesliga outfit, as they demonstrated at Old Trafford in the reverse game.

The double chance seems a great bet in my opinion.


我不看好莱比锡能够赢球。

莱比锡需要赢球才能晋级,其他任何结果都不够,因为PSG很有可能会击败伊斯坦布尔。这意味着他们将不得不进攻,后面留有空间,并为曼联提供了机会。

他们在冠军联赛战绩不佳,上一轮4:5击败伊斯坦布尔的比赛中,他们消耗了很多(最后一个进球在第92分钟)。此外他们战胜了巴黎(缺少几名关键球员,几乎是替补阵容出战),在首轮0:5惨败给曼联。虽然直到790分钟,比分仍然是1-0,曼联在板凳席上还有很多关键球员,例如布鲁诺·费尔南德斯,卡瓦尼和拉什福德。

莱比锡在替补席上也有一些关键球员,但是球队缺乏在欧冠的比赛经验。在周末对阵拜仁的比赛中,他们踢了一场艰苦的比赛,比赛最终是3:3的平局。对于本场比赛,关键后卫Upamecano被停赛(暂停)。

另一方面,曼联只需要获得一分即可出线。他们在欧冠的开局相当顺利,但是对阵伊斯坦布尔 2:1(毫无保留)和巴黎的失利使该组变得非常扑朔迷离。他们有一支非常有经验和实力的球队,特别是还有欧洲最好的中场球员之一布鲁诺·费尔南德斯。

他们在周末对阵曼城的比赛很重要,但是可以肯定的是这场比赛更为重要。进入⅛决赛的是球队几乎必须要完成的任务。

卡瓦尼和马夏尔因伤缺席,但德赫亚和卢克肖回归了,可以再次参加比赛。

曼联在巨大的压力下展现出了出色的能力,并且可能会在这场比赛中超越RB莱比锡。曼联只需要一分就可以进入淘汰赛阶段,我认为曼联有足够的实力。莱比锡在最后两场比赛中失了六个球,而索尔斯克亚的球队有能力给德甲的球队制造威胁,正如他们在老特拉福德的那场比赛中所展示的那样。

这场比赛曼联不败是一个很好的选择。

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