GREAT ODDS! DON'T MISS! 英超 曼城VS富勒姆
2026-02-11

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Five games in the English Premier League are going to happen on Wednesday, and one of the games is going to be between Manchester City and Fulham. After 25 games, City has 15 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses, a total of 50 points and 2nd place, while Fulham has 10 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses, a total of 34 points and 12th place. In this game, I predict City's win with at least 2 goal margin.

Over the last 5 games, City has 4 wins and 1 draw. Out of those wins, 3 have been with at least 2 goal margin. City has been a very good home team, having 9 wins in 12 games, with a total of 29 goals scored and 8 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 26.9 at home, while xGA is at 13.3.

Fulham is struggling lately, as they have 1 win and 3 losses in the last 4 games. While Fulham beat Brighton at home 2:1, Fulham had a worse xG rating. Interesting that in 2 losses, Fulham didn't have a worse xG rating, so the team should have gotten 1 point in those matches. Overall, Fulham has 3 wins and 2 draws in 12 road games, with a total of 13 goals scored and 21 conceded. The team has created an xG of 12.4 on the road, while xGA is at 22.3.

City will be without Jeremy Doku, Savinho, John Stones, Josko Gvardiol, and Mateo Kovacic in this match, while Abdukodir Khusanov is questionable. As for Fulham, Sasa Lukic is out, while Tom Cairney is questionable.

Manchester City to win by 2 goals makes sense because City should dominate possession and territory against Fulham, who struggle badly when pinned into a deep block. Once City scores first, Fulham will be forced to open up, which creates space for City to keep generating chances and add a second or third goal. City’s pressing also gives them a strong chance to score off turnovers, not just sustained buildup.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

英超联赛将在周三进行五场比赛,其中一场是曼城和富勒姆之间的比赛。25场比赛结束后,曼城15胜5平5负,积50分排名第2,而富勒姆10胜4平11负,积34分排名第12。在这场比赛中,我预测曼城会以至少2球的优势获胜。

在过去的5场比赛中,曼城取得了4胜1平的成绩。在这些胜利中,有3场至少有2球的差距。曼城是一支非常出色的主场球队,在12场比赛中取得了9场胜利,总共进了29球,丢了8球。球队在主场的xG值为26.9,而xGA值为13.3。

富勒姆最近很挣扎,他们最近4场比赛1胜3负。虽然富勒姆在主场2:1击败布莱顿,但富勒姆的xG评级更差。有趣的是,在两场失利中,富勒姆的xG值并不差,所以球队应该在这两场比赛中得到1分。总体而言,富勒姆在12场客场比赛中取得了3胜2平的成绩,进13球失21球。该团队在客场创造了12.4的xG,而xGA为22.3。

在这场比赛中,曼城将失去多库、萨维尼奥、斯通斯、格瓦迪奥尔和科瓦契奇,而胡萨诺夫也不确定。至于富勒姆,萨萨·卢基奇缺阵,而汤姆·卡尼也不确定。

曼城2球获胜是有道理的,因为曼城应该控制控球权和领土对抗富勒姆,后者在被困在一个很深的禁区时表现得很糟糕。一旦曼城率先进球,富勒姆将被迫拉开空间,这将为曼城创造机会,并创造第二个或第三个进球。曼城的压迫也给了他们很大的机会来避免失误,而不仅仅是持续的进攻。

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