In my opinion Nottingham have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

For sure they have good mental advantage before this game as they didn't lost in last 3, consecutive matches at this stadium and they lost only once in last 7 games here.

I don't trust for Blackburn at all. They scored only one goal in last 4 matches, in that match they won 1:0 at home against Middlesbrough, but that wasn't deserved result: expected goals scored for Blackburn 0.72, for Boro 1.50. Blackburn currently is on second place in league table, but they shouldn't be even in TOP 10. They scored 45 goals, but according to the model they should score only 39.6. They conceded 30 goals, but they should concede 36.7. Is hard to imagine Blackburn on second place at the end of the season without big improvement. In addition to that they are still without two important defenders Edun and Pickering. Key midfielder Dolan is doubtful, same as key striker Gallagher.

Nottingham is on 9th place, but only two points behind play-off zone. For sure they have huge motivation to finish season in great style. Currently they are in great form - they won 5 of last 6 matches in all competitions. Confidence have to be sky-high. In FA Cup they won twice against Premier League teams - against Arsenal and Leicester. For sure they are fearless before today's match. They are still without strikers Grabban and Mighten, but that shouldn't be problem at all as they were able to score 4 goals without them against Leicester at the weekend!

I fully trust Nottingham here and I don't see Blackburn as a favorite.

在我看来，诺丁汉有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

可以肯定的是，他们在本场比赛前有很好的心理优势，因为他们在这个体育场连续3场比赛都没有输球，而且他们最近7次客场面对布莱克本的比赛只输过一次。

我不信任布莱克本。他们在最近4场比赛中只打进一球，在那场比赛中他们主场1:0战胜米德尔斯堡，但这并不是应得的结果：布莱克本的预期进球数为0.72，米德尔斯堡的预期进球数为1.50。布莱克本目前在联赛积分榜上排名第二，但他们甚至不应该进入前十。他们打进了 45 个进球，但根据模型他们应该只有 39.6 个。他们丢了30个球，但他们应该丢36.7个球。很难想象布莱克本在赛季末能够一直排名第二。除此之外，他们还少了两名重要的后卫埃登和皮克林。主力中场多兰，主力前锋加拉格尔出战存疑。

诺丁汉排在第9，但仅落后附加赛区两分。可以肯定的是，他们有很大的动力结束这个赛季。目前他们状态很好——他们在所有比赛的最近 6 场比赛中赢了 5 场。信心很高。在足总杯中，他们两次战胜英超球队——阿森纳和莱斯特城。在今天的比赛之前，他们无所畏惧。他们仍然缺少了前锋格拉班和梅滕，但这应该不是问题，因为在周末对阵莱斯特城的比赛中，他们能够在没有他们的情况下打进 4 球！

我完全信任诺丁汉，我不认为布莱克本可以赢球。