Real Madrid are one win away from promotion, while the home side depend on several factors to reach the finish line and move forward. Mbappé and company have received a solid boost under the new coach, and I struggle to see the hosts making much of a difference here. Odds of 1.67 on the away win are also quite appealing, making this feel like the most reasonable option.

Benfica opened the Champions League with four straight defeats but bounced back with two 2–0 wins against Ajax and Napoli in the following matches. However, things went wrong again last week with a 0–2 away loss to Juventus, a result that now means they need help to progress.

One bright spot for Mourinho and company is their home form. Benfica have won their last four matches at Estádio da Luz and thrashed Estrela Amadora 4–0 at the weekend. At home in Portugal, they currently sit in a solid third place, although a full ten points behind league leaders Porto. Overall, they come into this match after a tough spell, with three losses in their last five games across all competitions.

Benfica are still missing several players: Alexander Bah, Samuel Soares, Dodi Lukebakio, Henrique Araújo and Richard Ríos are all injured. Sidny Lopes Cabral and Rafa Silva are not registered for the Champions League and are therefore unavailable.

Real Madrid travel to Lisbon full of confidence after three consecutive wins. Following two tough defeats — first in the Spanish Super Cup final against Barcelona and then in the Copa del Rey against Albacete — Álvaro Arbeloa has managed to get the team back on track.

At the weekend, Los Blancos beat Villarreal 2–0, with Kylian Mbappé scoring both goals. The Frenchman has been prolific in both La Liga and the Champions League recently and looks razor-sharp under the new coach.

Real Madrid have won five of their seven Champions League matches and need just one more victory to secure direct qualification for the round of 16. Last time out, they made mincemeat of Monaco with a comfortable 6–1 win in the competition.

In other words, it will be full commitment and full focus from the Spaniards, who can hardly afford an exit here.

For Real Madrid, several defensive players are unavailable: Trent Alexander-Arnold, Éder Militão, Ferland Mendy and Antonio Rüdiger are all injured, though they have been sidelined for some time. Aurélien Tchouaméni returns after suspension, while Álvaro Carreras could get playing time against his former club.

皇家马德里离晋级只差一场胜利，而主队则要依靠几个因素才能到达终点并继续前进。在新教练的带领下，我的团队得到了坚实的提升，我很难看到东道主在这里有什么不同。客场赢球的赔率为1.67也很吸引人，这让人觉得这是最合理的选择。

本菲卡以四连败开局，但在随后的比赛中以2-0战胜阿贾克斯和那不勒斯。然而，上周的比赛又出了问题，客场0-2负于尤文图斯，这个结果意味着他们需要帮助才能晋级。

穆里尼奥和他的球队的一个亮点是他们的主场状态。本菲卡在Estádio达卢兹赢得了他们最近的四场比赛，并在周末以4-0击败了埃斯特雷拉阿马多拉。在主场对阵葡萄牙的比赛中，他们目前稳居积分榜第三，尽管他们比联赛领头羊波尔图落后整整10分。总的来说，他们在经历了一段艰难的时期后进入了这场比赛，在所有比赛中，他们在过去的五场比赛中输了三场。

本菲卡仍然缺少几名球员：亚历山大·巴赫，塞缪尔·苏亚雷斯，多迪·卢卡巴基奥，恩里克Araújo和理查德Ríos都受伤了。卡布拉尔和席尔瓦都没有参加欧冠联赛，因此不能参加比赛。

皇马在三连胜后满怀信心前往里斯本。在经历了两次惨败之后——先是在西班牙超级杯决赛中对阵巴塞罗那，然后是在国王杯中对阵阿尔巴塞特——Álvaro阿贝罗阿成功地让球队回到了正轨。

上周末，白衣军团2-0击败比利亚雷亚尔，基利安·姆巴佩尔梅开二度。法国人最近在西甲联赛和欧冠联赛中都表现出色，在新教练的带领下，他看起来非常犀利。

皇马已经赢得了七场欧冠比赛中的五场，只要再赢一场就能直接晋级16强。上次，他们在比赛中以6比1轻松击败了摩纳哥。

换句话说，这将是西班牙人的全部承诺和全部注意力，他们很难承受在这里出局的后果。

对于皇马来说，几名防守球员都无法上场：特伦特·亚历山大-阿诺德，Éder milit<e:1>，弗兰德·门迪和安东尼奥·r<e:1>迪格都受伤了，尽管他们已经缺阵一段时间了。乌尔姆·楚亚姆·卡雷拉斯在停赛后回归，Álvaro卡雷拉斯可能在对阵老东家的比赛中获得出场时间。