On Sunday, 4 games in the English Premier League are going to happen, and one of them is going to be between Newcastle and Aston Villa. After 22 games, Newcastle has 9 wins, 6 draws, 7 loss, a total of 33 points and 8th place, while Aston Villa has 13 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses, a total of 43 points and 3rd place. In this game, I predict Newcastle's win.

Newcastle has 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 7 games. Newcastle had a much better xG rating against the Wolves on the road (0.94 vs. 0.28), but drew on the road. This week, Newcastle beat PSV at home in the Champions League. At home, Newcastle has been almost unstoppable. At the start of the season, Newcastle lost to Liverpool and Arsenal, but since then, no losses in front of their own fans in the Premier League. Overall, Newcastle has 7 wins and 2 draws in 11 home games, a total of 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. The team has created an xG of 24.6 at home, while xGA is at 14.7.

Aston Villa beat Fenerbahce on the road in the Europa League game this week, but last week in the Premier League, they lost to Everton at home. Aston Villa has been one of the best road teams in the Premier League with 5 wins and 3 draws in 11 games, a total of 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. As you see, Aston Villa has conceded more goals than scored, and in some games the team was lucky to win, because of the expected goal ratio, which wasn't positive for them. Overall, Aston Villa has created an xG of 15.2 on the road, while xGA is at 19.7.

Newcastle should beat Aston Villa because their high press is a perfect matchup against Villa’s shaky build-up, which keeps giving the ball away in dangerous areas. Newcastle is also strongest when playing direct and attacking space behind the defense, something Villa struggles to defend with their high line. At home, Newcastle’s intensity and physical edge give them a clear advantage in this matchup.

周日，英超联赛将有4场比赛，其中一场将在纽卡斯尔和阿斯顿维拉之间进行。22场比赛结束后，纽卡斯尔9胜6平7负，共积33分排名第8，而阿斯顿维拉13胜4平5负，共积43分排名第3。在这场比赛中，我预测纽卡斯尔会赢。

纽卡斯尔最近7场比赛取得5胜1平1负的成绩。纽卡斯尔在客场对阵狼队时的xG值要好得多（0.94比0.28），但在客场战平。本周，纽卡斯尔在欧冠主场击败了埃因霍温。在主场，纽卡斯尔几乎势不可挡。本赛季初，纽卡斯尔输给了利物浦和阿森纳，但从那以后，他们在英超联赛中没有在自己的球迷面前输球。总的来说，纽卡斯尔在11场主场比赛中取得了7胜2平，进22球失15球。球队在主场的xG值为24.6，而xGA值为14.7。

阿斯顿维拉在本周的欧联杯比赛中在客场击败了费内巴切，但在上周的英超联赛中，他们在主场输给了埃弗顿。阿斯顿维拉是英超最好的客场球队之一，在11场比赛中取得5胜3平，共进15球失16球。正如你所看到的，阿斯顿维拉的失球比进球多，在一些比赛中，球队很幸运地赢了，因为预期的进球率，这对他们来说不是积极的。总的来说，阿斯顿维拉在客场创造了15.2的xG，而xGA是19.7。

纽卡斯尔应该击败阿斯顿维拉，因为他们的高压力是对抗维拉摇摇欲坠的阵型的完美搭档，维拉的阵型总是在危险区域把球丢出去。纽卡斯尔在防守后的直接进攻空间中也是最强的，而维拉则很难用他们的高线来防守。在主场，纽卡斯尔的强度和身体优势使他们在这场比赛中占有明显的优势。