We continue with the Champions League! 9 more games on Wednesday night, and one of them is going to be between Atalanta and Athletic. After 6 games, Atalanta has 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, a total of 13 points and 5th place, while Athletic has 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, a total of 5 points and 28th place. In this game, I predict Atalanta's win.

Atalanta has been playing very well recently. If we include the last Champions League game where they beat Chelsea, Atalanta has 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 8 games. Atalanta lost to Inter at home, and drew in the last Serie A game, which was on the road against Pisa. In the Champions League, Atalanta is playing very well. At home, the team has beaten not only Chelsea, but also Club Brugge, and drawn against Slavia Praha, despite dominating the xG battle (2.59 vs. 0.73). At home, Atalanta has created 6.7 expected goals, xGA is at 3.1, with a difference of 3.6.

If we look at Athletic's last Champions League game, the view isn't the best because they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in 8 games. Both wins were in the Spanish Cup against lower-level teams, while the draw against PSG they should have lost, because the French team dominated the xG battle. Athletic is struggling on the road not only in the Spanish La Liga, but also the Champions League, where they have 1 draw and 2 losses in 3 games, a total of 1 goal scored and 6 conceded. From the xG standpoint, though, Athletic should have beaten Slavia Praha and game against Dortmund should have been much closer. Overall, Athletic has created an xG of 2.8 on the road, xGA is at 2.9, with a difference of -0.1.

Atalanta are set up well to handle Athletic’s aggressive press because they are comfortable playing through pressure and can stay compact when defending. Athletic often struggle to create clear chances against organized midblocks, and that plays into Atalanta’s strengths. Over the full match, Atalanta’s balance between control and quick attacks should give them the edge.

我们将继续欧冠！周三晚上还有9场比赛，其中一场是亚特兰大和竞技之间的比赛。经过6场比赛，亚特兰大4胜1平1负，共积13分，排名第5，而竞技1胜2平3负，共积5分，排名第28。在这场比赛中，我预测亚特兰大会赢。

亚特兰大队最近打得很好。如果算上上一场击败切尔西的欧冠比赛，亚特兰大在最近8场比赛中取得了6胜1平1负的成绩。亚特兰大在主场输给了国际米兰，在上一场意甲比赛中战平了比萨。在冠军联赛中，亚特兰大踢得很好。在主场，球队不仅击败了切尔西，还击败了布鲁日俱乐部，并在xG大战中占据优势（2.59比0.73），与斯拉维亚·普拉哈战平。在主场，亚特兰大创造了6.7个预期进球，xGA为3.1个，两者相差3.6个。

如果我们看一下竞技的最后一场欧冠比赛，就会发现情况并不是很好，因为他们在8场比赛中取得了2胜2平4负的战绩。两场胜利都是在西班牙杯对阵低级别球队的比赛中取得的，而战平巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛他们应该输掉，因为法国队在xG比赛中占据了主导地位。竞技不仅在西甲赛场，在欧冠赛场上也举步维艰，3场比赛1平2负，进1球丢6球。从xG的角度来看，竞技本应击败斯拉维亚，而对阵多特蒙德的比赛本应更加接近。总的来说，竞技在路上创造了2.8的xG， 2.9的xGA，相差-0.1。

亚特兰大很好地应对了竞技的进攻压力，因为他们在压力下踢得很舒服，在防守时也能保持紧凑。竞技队在面对有组织的中场封盖时，往往很难创造出清晰的机会，而这正是亚特兰大的优势所在。在整场比赛中，亚特兰大在控制和快速进攻之间的平衡应该会给他们带来优势。