Santa Clara VS FC Famalicao

Santa Clara and Famalicao lock horns in this Liga Portugal round 19 battle at Estádio de São Miguel in Ponta Delgada very late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest level of Portuguese football. The level of this league is high by European standards but it is still, as a whole, undoubtedly much worse than that of the top-4 leagues. A match of somewhat mediocre quality is in the cards - by this league's standards. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! We have won seven of the last eight picks betting on Liga Portugal. Last season Santa Clara finished in 5th place with 57 points - Famalicao took 10 points less, ending up in 7th place. However, this season has undeniably been a disappointment. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating. However, the bookies have gone "too far" undervaluing the hosts. Indeed, I see this game as a coin toss - 50/50 game without a favourite. As the bookies offer odds of only around 2.30 on the away win, we will take the Santa Clara +0.5 goals handicap option. Let's remember that Famalicao have won only one of the last four games between these teams.

Santa Clara currently occupy the 13th place with 17 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 20.34. They have netted the ball only 14 times and do lack some offensive skill and creativity. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 21.22! Their defence is well-structured  - and they have allowed only 19 goals. This is less than Braga, in 5th place, have conceded! Yes, under intense pressing they can be vulnerable but Famalicao are not expected to play like this here. Santa Clara can improve significantly!  The visitors are in 8th place with 23 points - with a score difference of 20:14. However, their number of expected goals against (xGA) is 21.35!

Famalicao have now lost four games in a row, winning only one of their last seven matches. In their last game they lost to a pretty small team, Alverca, 0-1 away from home. The visitors were priced around 2.00 to win but the hosts recorded two more shots on goal and generated 1.04 more in xG. Both teams had three big scoring chances though. Before this Famalicao welcomed Estrela, priced around 1.45 to win but lost 2-3! The hosts did record one more shot on target and big scoring chance though. Santa Clara have not been in good form recently but have still lost only one of their last four games in 90 minutes of play. However, they have had some bad luck in some of their most recent matches. In their last game they faced Nacional on the road, as underdogs on the betting market. It was a 3-3 draw but Santa Clara generated more in xG - 2.67-1.99 to be precise. They also recorded many more total shots (22-13) and big scoring chances - 5-2. Before this they lost to Porto, in 1st place. 0-1 at home as very clear underdogs on the betting market. The hosts recorded four more total shots but struggled to create much in xG. Porto simply defended too well. The visitors recorded just one big scoring chance though. Santa Clara's performance was more than decent.

GOOD LUCK!

圣克拉拉VS法玛利考

北京时间周日晚，圣克拉拉和法马利考将在葡萄牙联赛第19轮在蓬塔德尔加达的Estádio de ss<e:1>米格尔球场展开激战。这是葡萄牙足球的最高水平。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平是很高的，但总的来说，它无疑比四大联赛差得多。按照这个联盟的标准，一场质量一般的比赛是可能的。最重要的是，我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者在这里又有了一个非常有前途的投注机会！我们在过去的8场葡萄牙联赛中赢了7场。上个赛季，圣克拉拉队以57分排名第五，法玛利考队少得10分，排名第七。然而，这个赛季无疑是令人失望的。因此，我降低了它们的功率等级。然而，博彩公司“太过”低估了东道主。事实上，我认为这是一场掷硬币的游戏，没有最喜欢的一方。由于博彩公司提供的客场胜利赔率只有2.30左右，我们将采取圣克拉拉+0.5个进球障碍选项。让我们记住，法马利科在这两支球队之间的最近四场比赛中只赢了一场。

圣克拉拉目前以17分排名第13位。他们的期望值（xPTS）为20.34。他们只有14次进球，确实缺乏进攻技巧和创造力。然而，他们的预期进球数（xG）是21.22！他们的防守结构很好，他们只丢了19个球。这比排名第五的布拉加丢的球还少！是的，在强大的压力下，他们可能会很脆弱，但法马利考不会在这里打出这样的表现。圣克拉拉可以显著改善！客队以23分排名第8，两队的积分差距为20:14。然而，他们对xGA的预期进球数是21.35个！

法马利科已经连续输掉了四场比赛，在过去的七场比赛中只赢了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们客场0-1输给了一支很小的球队阿尔韦卡。客队的胜率在2.00左右，但主队又射正了两球，在xG比赛中又多进了1.04球。两支球队都有三次得分机会。在此之前，Famalicao欢迎Estrela，价格在1.45左右赢，但输了2-3！不过主队还是有一次射正的机会。圣克拉拉队最近状态不佳，但在过去的四场比赛中，他们在90分钟内只输了一场。然而，他们在最近的一些比赛中运气不佳。在他们的最后一场比赛中，他们在客场面对国民队，在博彩市场上处于劣势。双方以3比3战平，但圣克拉拉队的比分更大，准确地说是2.67比1.99。他们的总射门次数（22-13次）和得分机会（5-2）也更多。在此之前，他们输给了排名第一的波尔图。主场0-1的战绩在博彩市场上明显处于劣势。东道主总共有四次射门，但在上下半场很难创造多少机会。波尔图防守太好了。然而客队只抓住了一个重要的得分机会。圣克拉拉队的表现相当不错。

好运！