Honduras vs Canada

Honduras welcome visitors from Canada for this FIFA World Cup qualification round 9 battle at San Pedro Sula. I expect a little low-scoring match than the betting market, most football analysts and probably many experts too. This increases the probability of a draw hence making our bet better. Stakes are high for Canada who quite surprisingly lead this group after eight rounds. The situation is tight though as Panama in the 4th place have 14 points in the bank - Canada have 16. Canada are a rising football nation but have not achieved any real success at international level and will they ever? I am not quite sure. Their FIFA ranking is 40th with 1462.32 points. However, I think they have over-performed lately and are over-rated here by the betting market and online bettors. Yes, I do realize Honduras are ranked lower and and have 1332.16 points. Canada are of course favorites here but not as clear the betting market thinks, even taking big motivation into account!

Canada have scored just 2 goals in their latest 3 away matches and this will not be an easy match by any means. I would say they have slightly over 40% chance of winning - meaning that our bet Honduras +0.5 goals handicap has almost 60% chance of winning! Honduras have indeed been disappointing so far being in last position at the moment in the group but have potential for more. They have lost their latest three matches by only one goal's difference and would have deserved some points! For example versus Costa Rica on the 17th of November they lost 1-2 away from home but had over 55% ball possession and created more scoring chances, attacks, dangerous attacks and completed passes. They have loud home fans and and the home advantage here is substantial. We must also remember that Canada have only won 4 of the 8 matches they have played so far in this group.. I expect the hosts to fight hard to "save face" and please the home crowd - making Canada work very hard if they want to travel home with all 3 points!

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我预计这场比赛的得分会比博彩市场低一些，大多数足球分析师可能还有许多专家也一样。这增加了平局的概率，从而使我们的押注更好。对加拿大队来说，赌注很高，他们在八轮比赛后出人意料地领先。情况很紧张，排在第四位的巴拿马有14分，加拿大有16分。加拿大是一个正在崛起的足球国家，但还没有在国际水平上取得任何真正的成功，他们会吗?我不太清楚。他们在国际足联排名第40位，得分为1462.32分。然而，我认为他们最近表现得过于出色，被博彩市场和网上投注者高估了。是的，我知道洪都拉斯排名更低，只有1332.16分。加拿大当然是最受欢迎的，但不像博彩市场认为的那么清楚，即使考虑到很大的动机!

加拿大在最近的3场客场比赛中只进了2球，无论如何这都不会是一场轻松的比赛。我会说他们有略高于40%的机会获胜-这意味着我们打赌洪都拉斯+0.5个进球的差点有几乎60%的机会获胜!洪都拉斯目前确实令人失望，在小组中处于最后一名，但有潜力获得更多。他们最近的三场比赛只差一个球就输了，他们应该得到一些分数!例如，在11月17日对阵哥斯达黎加的比赛中，他们主场1-2失利，但控球率超过55%，并创造了更多的得分机会、进攻、危险进攻和完成传球。他们有吵闹的主场球迷，而且主场优势是明显的。我们还必须记住，加拿大队迄今为止在这个小组的8场比赛中只赢了4场。我预计东道主会努力“挽回面子”，并取悦本国观众——如果加拿大队想要带着3分回家，他们就会非常努力!