I am going against Liverpool again, last time were unlucky with the late and unnecessary goal vs Barnsley. A few words in general first:

Liverpool’s 4–1 FA Cup win over League One Barnsley on Monday followed a pattern that had already been developing. Before kick-off, top-flight sides had faced lower-league opposition ten times across competitions, producing an aggregate record of eight wins, one draw and one defeat, with a combined scoreline of 40–10. Notably, only one of those matches ended in a clean sheet for the Premier League clubs.

That single defeat was seismic: holders Crystal Palace being knocked out by sixth-tier Macclesfield, a result widely labelled the most astonishing upset in the FA Cup’s 154-year history. With that embarrassment fresh in the collective memory, there was little danger of complacency from Liverpool. If nothing else, it sharpened focus.

Defensively, concerns were obvious. Liverpool’s issues at the back have been a season-long theme, and the injury to Conor Bradley suffered the previous midweek only added to that vulnerability. Going forward, though, there was never much doubt they would create enough to overwhelm third-tier opposition. In the league Liverpool has conceded already 28 goals, and it is in line with the expected goals. Arsenal for example have only conceded 14.

For Barnsley, the occasion was immense. Around 6,000 supporters made the trip on a working day, an extraordinary commitment from a club representing a community often described as economically marginalised. That level of sacrifice inevitably demands total effort on the pitch. The Tykes believed set pieces could be their route into the game, a theory supported by how frequently Liverpool have been exposed in those situations this season—and it was hard to argue against that logic.

In practice, the game unfolded largely as expected. Barnsley capitalised on a defensive gift, underlining once again Liverpool’s fragility, and on another day might have added a second.

Burnley are not good, but they do have a chance, and they have drawn 3 out of their last 6 matches. Perhaps with the help of some luck, but look at the odds!

Burnley had already dismantled Championship pace-setters Millwall 5–1 earlier in the week, following a four-goal haul against Manchester United. They arrived well-rested and suddenly prolific: seven goals across two matches, having managed only six in their previous eight outings combined. That earlier run still included goals scored away at Brentford and Newcastle in defeat, and a similar outcome looked very much on the cards again.

我将再次对阵利物浦，上次我们在对阵巴恩斯利的比赛中不幸地打进了一个不必要的进球。先笼统地说几句：

利物浦在周一的足总杯比赛中以4比1战胜了英超联赛的巴恩斯利，这是一场早已上演的比赛。在开球前，顶级联赛球队在各项赛事中曾10次面对低级别联赛的对手，总战绩为8胜1平1负，总比分为40胜10负。值得注意的是，这些比赛中只有一场是英超俱乐部零封对手。

那一场失利是地震般的：卫冕冠军水晶宫被第六梯队麦克尔斯菲尔德淘汰，这一结果被广泛认为是足总杯154年历史上最令人震惊的失利。在这种尴尬的情况下，利物浦几乎没有自满的危险。如果没有别的，它可以让你的注意力更加集中。

防守方面的担忧是显而易见的。利物浦后卫线的问题已经困扰了整个赛季，而布拉德利在之前的周中受伤更是加剧了后卫线的脆弱性。不过，展望未来，毫无疑问，他们会创造出足够的实力来压倒第三梯队的对手。在联赛中，利物浦已经丢了28个球，这与预期相符。以阿森纳为例，他们只丢了14球。

对巴恩斯利来说，这个场合意义重大。一个工作日约有6000名支持者前往，对于一个代表一个经常被描述为经济边缘化社区的俱乐部来说，这是一个非同寻常的承诺。这种程度的牺牲不可避免地需要在球场上全力以赴。泰克斯相信定位球可以成为他们进入比赛的途径，这个理论得到了利物浦本赛季频繁暴露在这种情况下的支持——很难反驳这个逻辑。

实际上，比赛在很大程度上符合预期。巴恩斯利利用了他的防守天赋，再次强调了利物浦的脆弱，如果有一天他可能会再进一球。

伯恩利不是很好，但他们有机会，他们在最近的6场比赛中取得了3场平局。也许需要一些运气的帮助，但看看几率吧！

本周早些时候，伯恩利在对阵曼联的比赛中打进4球后，已经以5比1击败了英冠领头羊米尔沃尔。他们休息得很好，突然间多产起来：两场比赛进了7球，而在之前的8场比赛中总共只进了6球。在之前的比赛中，还包括在客场击败布伦特福德和纽卡斯尔时的进球，而类似的结果看起来很有可能再次出现。