01月20日乌迪内斯 VS 亚特兰大比赛分析直播
9：英超+意甲
解读理由：
As you know I am a big fan of Atalanta, but in this situation the only choice is to back home win.
Why?
Well, firstly, there is not much class difference between these two even on their optimal lineups, in the actual table Atalanta are currently 4 points ahead of their hosts, but in the xG-data the difference is less than one point.
Secondly, and most importantly, Atalanta have a crucial CL-game ahead v Ajax next week, and all eyes are in the success there. Champions league has also been the main reason for somewha weaker Atalanta performances during the season so far.
Thirdly, it still is a home game for Udinese who recently have gotten the results they deserved already in the early season, but were denied by poor luck.
Udinese last 7 Serie A games and xG below.
正如你所知道的，我是亚特兰大的超级球迷，但是在这种情况下，我选择主队取胜。
为什么?
首先，这两队差距不大，积分上看亚特兰大目前领先乌迪内斯4分，但在预期数据中双方差距不到1分。
第二，也是最重要的，亚特兰大下周将对阵阿贾克斯一场关键的比赛，所有人的目光都集中在胜利上。到目前为止，兼顾冠军联赛也是亚特兰大表现不佳的主要原因。
第三，这仍然是乌迪内斯的主场比赛，球队在赛季初主场表现就很好，但因运气不佳成绩看起来一般。
乌迪内斯已经参加了七场意甲比赛，数据如下 ：
Udinese miss several players from this which makes it just a good idea, not an excellent one. The lack of goal-scorers is a tiny problem. Can Pussetto and Forestieri do it?
De Maio, Mandragora, Lasagna, Nestorovski, Okaka and Ouwejan miss the Udinese lineup today, especially in the attack Okaka and Lasagna would be needed.
At Atalanta the injury situation is not the main problem, but the Ajax-game is, and I doubt Atalanta head coach to risk anyone he plans to start in Amsterdam, so there might be even debutants in starting lineup, and if not, the minds of the players are in next week. Guessing the starting lineup is rather useless at this point,
A very nasty situation, but as we know if concentration is not 100% it does lead to weak performances, and honestly, there have been several below par Atalanta performances lately, especially in the losses v Sampdoria and Verona, and Udinese today is at least a team of their class.
The home draw vs poor Midtjylland also raises questions!
Last 7 Serie A Atalanta results with xG below.
乌迪内斯错过了几名球员，进攻效率会受影响。
德马尤、曼德拉格拉、拉萨尼亚、内斯托罗夫斯基、奥卡和乌维扬将缺席今天的比赛，特别是在进攻方面，奥卡和拉萨尼亚将是必不可少的。
对亚特兰大来说，伤病不是主要问题，但对阿贾克斯的比赛才是，我怀疑亚特兰大的主教练会进行人员调整，所以可能会有年轻球员首发，即使派出主力球员，球员们也会分心下周中的杯赛。在这一点上，猜测首发阵容是相当无用的，
这是一个非常糟糕的情况，但我们知道，如果注意力不能100%集中，就会导致表现不佳，老实说，最近有几次亚特兰大的表现低于标准，特别是在对桑普多利亚和维罗纳的比赛中，今天的乌迪内斯至少很专注。
亚特兰大已经参加了七场意甲比赛，数据如下 ：
3-1 home win
看好主队取胜，比分预测.3-1
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。