Wolves 0.0 is the right outcome at Molineux. The home team isn't as bad as the results suggest; they've been playing above average and deserve better. They won't be a punching bag all season, and it's time for things to return to normal.
Rob Edwards' Wolves come from a 1-1 draw in Manchester that broke a dismal run and, above all, restored their belief. The most significant factor: the team "owes" a lot to the table; it's the biggest negative difference between xG and points in the league, an indicator that performance has been greater than the final result. For me, this is very important; the balls will start going in, and they will recover, and to be able to avoid relegation, time is running out. At home, with aggressive blocking, wide wingers, and José Sá back to provide security, the plan is to control the tempo and turn volume into chances. The draw at Old Trafford seems to have been the turning point and will give them the confidence they lacked.
On the other side, Nuno Espírito Santo's West Ham haven't won in eight games and arrive at Molineux in 18th place, still four points from safety. The 2-2 draw with Brighton was dramatic and even included a missed penalty by the opponent, a sign of fragility in stressful moments. Away from home, they've only won once all season, despite losing only one of their last four away games, a trend of low offensive productivity and suffering when pushed back for long periods without the ball. Here it's the opposite; the team could technically do much better, but they play very poorly. Anyone who sees them play understands why they're in this position, and I don't see any improvement.
It's a game of details, but the match-up and the current form point to the home side: Wolves with metrics suggesting a positive regression, Molineux buzzing, and a predictable West Ham away from home lacking confidence. Let's not overcomplicate things: Wolves 0-0 with conviction. Probable score? 1-0 or 2-1, in a tough duel, played with errors and the impetus of the fans.
狼0.0在莫利纽克斯是正确的结果。主队并不像结果显示的那么糟糕;他们的表现高于平均水平,值得更好的表现。他们不会整个赛季都是出气筒,是时候让一切回归正常了。
罗布·爱德华兹率领的狼队在曼彻斯特1-1战平,打破了低迷的势头,最重要的是,恢复了他们的信念。最重要的因素:团队“欠”桌子很多;这是联赛中xG和积分之间最大的负差,这是一个表现大于最终结果的指标。对我来说,这很重要;球将开始进入,他们将恢复,并且能够避免降级,时间不多了。在主场,有侵略性的封盖,边路的边锋,以及约瑟夫斯·塞<e:1>提供安全保障,计划是控制节奏,把体积转化为机会。在老特拉福德的平局似乎是一个转折点,将给他们缺乏的信心。
另一方面,努诺Espírito桑托的西汉姆联已经8场比赛没有赢球了,他们以第18名的成绩抵达莫利纳克斯,距离安全还有4分的差距。2-2战平布莱顿的比赛充满戏剧性,甚至包括对手罚丢的点球,这是在紧张时刻脆弱的表现。在客场,他们整个赛季只赢了一场,尽管他们最近四场客场比赛只输了一场,这是一种进攻效率低下的趋势,而且在长时间无球的情况下,他们受到了打击。这里正好相反;这支球队在技术上可以做得更好,但他们踢得很差。任何看过他们比赛的人都明白他们为什么会在这个位置上,我没有看到任何进步。
这是一场注重细节的比赛,但比赛和目前的状态都指向主队:狼队的指标显示正回归,莫利纽斯嗡嗡叫,而可以预见的西汉姆在客场缺乏信心。让我们不要把事情复杂化:狼队0-0的信念。可能的得分?1-0或2-1,在一场艰难的对决中,比赛伴随着失误和球迷的推动。