Best pick for Saturday+2400w analysis
2022-01-22

Wesley

外籍分析师

德甲

01/22 22:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Bayer Leverkusen welcomes Augsburg in hopes of winning and retaining third place in the table. Although Leverkusen is playing much better away this season (Bayer is the second-best guest in the league behind Bayern) against Augsburg will be a big favourite to win. The host played a fantastic game against Gladbach away, they won 2-1 but it can not be said that it was a fair result because Leverkusen missed two penalties. Leverkusen is playing well this season and the most deserving of that is Patrick Schick, who has had a fantastic season and he scored 18 goals in the Bundesliga (Only Lewandovski scored more, 23 goals). What is interesting for Schick is that his average xG is 0.89 per game, which in translation means that his every second shot on the target is a goal. Also, Wirtz plays great, this teenager is the future of German and world football and is the second-best assistant in the league Apart from Demirbay, who has been suspended, Leverkusen has no new absences. Leverkusen has never lost to Augsburg in the Bundesliga, so the tradition is on the side of "Pharmacists".

Augsburg is coming to this difficult away game is not very good shape, and although they do not have trusted players, they are not recording good results. Augsburg is just one point above the relegation zone and although they play well at their stadium, they play very poorly away and have scored just 6 away goals. There is no doubt that Augsburg will defend at BayArena and will wait for their chance from the counter-attack, but I think Bayer is too strong at the moment for the guests. The big problem for Augsburg this season is the lack of a leader in the team, Caliguri has been this in previous seasons but he is not playing very well this season. Augsburg has an xG ("Expected goals") of 19.2 and only three teams in the Bundesliga have a smaller xG, which speaks volumes about how many problems the team has with creating chances this season.

Leverkusen is a team fighting for the Champions League this season and I think that if they want to play in the best competition in Europe next year, they should beat teams like Augsburg at home. Although -1.5 Asian handicap is very acceptable here, I think it is better to play only Leverkusen to win or Leverkusen to win and over 2.5 goals because Leverkusen's defence is not playing very well they kept a clean sheet in only 4 games (21% of games).

My prediction;

Outcome: Leverkusen to win

Goals: over 2.5

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

勒沃库森欢迎奥格斯堡,希望能赢得比赛并保住积分榜第三的位置。尽管勒沃库森本赛季在客场的表现要好得多(拜耳是联赛中仅次于拜仁的第二大客队),但对阵奥格斯堡将是夺冠的大热门。东道主在客场对阵格拉德巴赫的比赛中表现出色,他们2-1获胜,但这并不是一个公平的结果,因为勒沃库森罚丢了两个点球。勒沃库森本赛季踢得很好,其中最值得称赞的是帕特里克·希克,他有一个梦幻的赛季,在德甲打进了18个进球(仅次于莱万多夫斯基,23个进球)。对Schick来说,有趣的是他每场比赛的平均xG是0.89,换句话说,这意味着他在目标上的每一秒都是一个目标。此外,维尔茨踢得很好,这名少年是德国和世界足球的未来,是联赛中仅次于德米贝(德米贝已被禁赛)的第二好的助理球员,勒沃库森目前还没有新的缺阵。勒沃库森在德甲从未输给奥格斯堡,所以传统上是“药剂师”。

奥格斯堡在这场艰难的客场比赛中表现不太好,虽然他们没有值得信任的球员,但他们没有取得好的成绩。奥格斯堡只比降级区高出一分,尽管他们在主场踢得很好,但他们在客场踢得很差,只打进了6个客场进球。毫无疑问,奥格斯堡会在BayArena防守,并等待反击的机会,但我认为拜耳目前对客人们来说太强大了。奥格斯堡本赛季最大的问题是缺少一个领袖,卡里古里在前几个赛季都是这样,但他本赛季的表现不是很好。奥格斯堡的预期进球数为19.2,而德甲只有三支球队的预期进球数比奥格斯堡少,这充分说明了奥格斯堡本赛季在创造机会方面存在很多问题。

勒沃库森本赛季是一支为欧冠而战的球队,我认为如果他们想在明年欧洲最好的比赛中踢球,他们应该在主场击败奥格斯堡这样的球队。虽然1.5个亚洲障碍在这里是可以接受的,但我认为最好是只踢勒沃库森赢或者勒沃库森赢2.5个球以上,因为勒沃库森的防守不太好,他们只有4场比赛(21%的比赛)保持无失球。

我的预测;

结果:勒沃库森获胜

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。