Club football is back! On Saturday night, we are having a couple of games in the German Bundesliga, and one of the matches is going to be between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV. After 6 games, RB Leipzig has 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, a total of 13 points, and 3rd place, while HSV has 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, a total of 8 points, and 9th place. In this game, I predict RB Leipzig's win.
Leipzig started the season horribly as they were beaten by Bayern 0:6. After that, the team has won 4 times and drawn once. The draw was in the last game before the break, when they had 1:1 against Borussia Dortmund on the road, but Leipzig had a slightly better xG rating. At home, Leipzig has won both games. After 6 games, RB Leipzig has generated an xG of 11.1, xGA is at 9.3, with a difference of +1.8, but let's remember that horrendous game against Bayern. If we take out that match, the difference is way bigger.
Hamburger has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. If we look at the opponents, we see that they haven't been the toughest: Mainz 05 (4:0, 16th in the standings), Union Berlin (0:0, 13th) and Heidenheim (2:1, 18th). What's most important - Hamburger had a much better xG only against Mainz 05 (1.91 vs. 0.67), but in both other games, the opponents had even a little bit better. The game against Union was on the road, and Hamburger has 2 draws and 1 loss away from home. Overall, Hamburger has created an xG of 6.4 on the road, xGA is at 9.9, with a difference of -3.5.
RB Leipzig is still without Benjamin Henrichs, while Hamburger will miss Fabio Vieira because of the red card, and Warmed Omari, with Silvan Hefti, are still out.
I'm going with Leipzig in this match. They have performed very well, and they are playing at home, where they have been unstoppable, while Hamburger has struggled on the road.
俱乐部足球又回来了!周六晚上,我们在德甲有几场比赛,其中一场将是莱比锡RB和汉堡SV。6场比赛后,RB莱比锡4胜1平1负,积13分,排名第3,HSV 2胜2平2负,积8分,排名第9。在这场比赛中,我预测RB莱比锡会赢。
莱比锡本赛季开局糟糕,以0:6被拜仁击败。在那之后,球队取得了4胜1平的战绩。平局发生在中场休息前的最后一场比赛,当时他们客场1:1战平多特蒙德,但莱比锡的xG评级略高。在主场,莱比锡赢得了两场比赛。6场比赛后,莱比锡的xG值为11.1,xGA值为9.3,两者相差+1.8,但让我们记住那场对阵拜仁的可怕比赛。如果我们把火柴拿掉,差别就更大了。
汉堡队最近3场比赛2胜1平。如果我们看看对手,我们会发现他们并不是最强硬的:美因茨05(4:0,排名第16),柏林联盟(0:0,排名第13)和海登海姆(2:1,排名第18)。最重要的是,汉堡队只有在对阵美因茨05的比赛中,xG比他们好得多(1.91比0.67),但在其他两场比赛中,对手的xG比他们还要好一点。与曼联的比赛是在客场进行的,汉堡队在客场取得了2平1负的战绩。总体而言,Hamburger在路上创造了6.4的xG, 9.9的xGA,差值为-3.5。
莱比锡仍然没有本杰明·亨里奇,汉堡也将因为红牌而失去法比奥·维埃拉,而拥有希尔万·赫夫蒂的奥马里也将缺席。
这场比赛我支持莱比锡队。他们表现得很好,他们在主场比赛,他们已经势不可挡,而汉堡在客场挣扎。