Volendam VS PEC Zwolle

Volendam and Zwolle lock horns in this Eredivisie round 7 battle at Kras Stadion in Volendam Beijing time. This is the 1st tier of Dutch football. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors can expect a game of low quality by this league's standards here.  Most importantly we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won five of the last seven picks betting on this league! Volendam were promoted from the Eerste Divisie to this level for this season. In my expert opinion, they do definitely belong in the first tier. It will surely not be an easy season for them. However, they have decent quality in the squad. The main rationale behind this pick is to oppose Zwolle. Indeed, the odds of around 2.65 on the away win, offered by the biggest bookies, is much too low. The hosts deserve to be solid favourites here so we will take the Volendam +0.5 goals handicap. The goal expectancy here - between two out-of-form teams is lower than the bookies estimate. They are in 12th place with seven points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 5.67. They have scored six goals and have conceded nine goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 5.23. Moreover, their number of expected goals against is 14.22. Indeed, their defensive structure is poor and silly individual mistakes in defence and midfield have been pretty common. I would not be  terribly surprised to see them relegate..

Volendam have had a slightly disappointing start to the season. They are in 16th place with four points to their account. They have scored seven goals and have allowed 11 goals. However, their number of xPTS is 6.01 and xG is 8.78. They have not won a game since July but have still lost only two of their last six games. In their last game they lost to Excelsior 1-2 at home but recorded one more shot on goal. The xG numbers were 1.67-1.72. In round 4 they proved that they can play well, taking a point from Ajax, a very big club in the Netherlands. It was a 1-1 draw. Ajax were priced around 1.30 to win by the bookies but both teams had four shots on goal. Zwolle, on the other hand, are in terrible form. Indeed, they have lost four of their last fiver games! In their last game they were lucky to get a point from AZ Alkmaar away from home - through a 2-2 draw. The hosts recorded a whopping 28 total shots and generated 1.87 more in xG. I believe this result affects the odds too much here.. Before this they lost to G.A Eagles 0-2 at home - recording one shot on goal and no big scoring chances. The visitors dominated the game, generating 2.21 in xG. The hosts' J. Monteiro was sent off early in the 1st half though.

GOOD LUCK!

沃伦丹VS兹沃勒

北京时间，沃伦丹和兹沃勒将在沃伦丹的克拉斯球场展开欧甲第7轮激战。这是荷兰足球的第一梯队。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场低质量的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的赌博机会！事实上，我们已经赢了过去7次选秀中的5次。弗伦丹本赛季从乙级联赛升级到这个级别。在我的专家看来，他们绝对属于第一梯队。这对他们来说肯定不是一个轻松的赛季。然而，他们的阵容实力还不错。这一选择背后的主要理由是反对兹沃勒。事实上，最大的博彩公司提供的客场获胜的赔率约为2.65，这实在太低了。东道主应该是最受欢迎的球队，所以我们将采用Volendam +0.5个进球的劣势。两支状态不佳的球队之间的进球预期比博彩公司估计的要低。他们以7分的成绩排在第12位。然而，他们的期望值（xPTS）只有5.67。他们进了6个球丢了9个球。然而，他们的预期目标数（xG）是5.23。此外，他们的预期失球数为14.22个。事实上，他们的防守结构很糟糕，防守和中场的愚蠢的个人失误非常普遍。看到他们降级，我不会感到非常惊讶。

佛伦丹本赛季开局有点令人失望。他们以4分排名第16位。他们进了7球，丢了11球。但是，它们的xPTS数为6.01，xG为8.78。他们自7月以来没有赢过一场比赛，但在过去的六场比赛中只输了两场。在上一场比赛中，他们主场1-2不敌Excelsior，但他们又射门一次。xG值为1.67 ~ 1.72。在第四轮比赛中，他们证明了他们可以踢得很好，从荷兰的豪门阿贾克斯那里拿了一分。双方1比1战平。博彩公司对阿贾克斯的胜率定价在1.30左右，但两队都有4次射门。另一方面，兹沃勒人的状态很糟糕。事实上，他们最近五场比赛输了四场！在上一场比赛中，他们很幸运地在客场2-2战平了阿尔克马尔，拿到了一分。东道主总共射门28次，全场进球1.87次。我认为这个结果对这里的胜算影响太大了。在此之前，他们在主场0-2输给了G.A老鹰队——只有一次射门，没有大的得分机会。客队在比赛中占据主导地位，全场得分2.21分。主队的蒙泰罗在上半场被罚下。

好运！