Spanish Supercup semifinals.

Barcelona is a mess this season. They are playing so badly, conceding too many goals and chances, while in attack they are harmless. They have conceded 15 goals in the last 13 games, including fixtures against weak rivals (Linares, Mallorca, Granada…) and the main reason is their weak defensive system and the bad form of Ter Stegen or some defenders.

In the midfield, they are trying to dominate the ball possession with Xavi but they don't have enough quality and pace to do it well: they are not able to make a good pressure and always have some minutes where they lose the control of the match. Also can't create clear chances when they have the ball, as their possession and movements are really slow.

Then in attack their only real danger is some great move or action by some player, but they have a huge lack of goal as they dont have a good striker.

Furthermore, their squad is far from being 100% perfect. Eric Garcia and Braithwaite are both out. Araujo, Ansu Fati and De Jong are back from injury (traveled without a medical high). Ferran and Pedri had covid and couldn't train normally until yesterday, while Memphis is back from an injury and won’t be at 100% either.

On the other hand, Real Madrid is performing really well this season. They are in great form, several players (especially in attack, Benzema and Vinicius) are in great form, their midfield (Kroos - Modric) are dominating the matches perfectly and in defense they aren’t a rock but are solid enough to win the games. But it’s mainly due to their good attack.

They are the best Spanish team so far, have won 15 of the last 18 games played (2 draws + 1 defeat) and are full of confidence. No important missings, only Bale and Mariano.

As you may know, these games use to be cyclic depending on the level of both teams. In some periods Barcelona is dominating, in others we see great equality and in others Madrid is dominating. And in the recent years we are in a period where Real Madrid is being the dominator, while Barcelona is in crisis and in the middle of a transitional period.

Real Madrid has won the last 4 “Clasicos”, including the one played a few months ago where they won 1:2 fairly.

Real Madrid is playing better, has more confidence, a better squad and should be able to win this match. For me they are the main candidates to win the title as it seems to be one step above the other teams in this tournament.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

巴塞罗那这个赛季真是一团糟。他们踢得很糟糕，丢了太多的球和机会，但在进攻方面他们却没有什么杀伤力。在过去的13场比赛中，他们已经丢了15个球，包括对阵实力较弱的对手(利纳雷斯、马洛卡、格拉纳达……)，主要原因是他们薄弱的防守体系，以及斯特根和一些后卫的糟糕表现。

在中场，他们试图和哈维一起控制控球，但他们没有足够的质量和速度来做好这一点:他们不能很好地施加压力，而且总有几分钟他们会失去对比赛的控制。当他们有球的时候也不能创造清晰的机会，因为他们的控球和移动都很慢。

然后在进攻中，他们唯一真正的危险是一些球员的一些伟大的移动或行动，但他们有一个巨大的缺乏进球，因为他们没有一个好的前锋。

此外，他们的队伍也远非百分百完美。埃里克·加西亚和布雷斯韦特都出局了。阿劳约、安苏·法蒂和德容已经从伤病中恢复过来(他们的旅行并没有达到医疗高峰)。费兰和佩德里感染了新冠病毒，直到昨天才开始正常训练，而灰熊已经从伤病中恢复，也不会完全恢复。

另一方面，皇马本赛季表现非常出色。他们的状态很好，几个球员(特别是在进攻端，本泽马和维尼休斯)状态很好，他们的中场(克罗斯-莫德里奇)完美地控制了比赛，在防守方面他们不是一块岩石，但足以赢得比赛。但这主要是由于他们良好的进攻。

他们是迄今为止西班牙最好的球队，在过去的18场比赛中赢了15场(2平1负)，充满信心。没有重大失误，只有贝尔和马里亚诺。

如你所知，这些游戏通常是循环的，这取决于两支队伍的水平。在一些时期，巴塞罗那占据主导地位，在另一些时期，我们看到了巨大的平等，而在另一些时期，马德里占据主导地位。近年来，我们正处于一个时期，皇马是主宰者，而巴塞罗那正处于危机之中，处于过渡时期。

皇家马德里已经赢得了最近的四次“经典”比赛，包括几个月前他们以1:2公平获胜的那场比赛。

皇马踢得更好，更有信心，阵容更强，应该能够赢得这场比赛。对我来说，他们是赢得冠军的主要候选人，因为它似乎是一个步骤以上的其他球队在这次比赛中。