Awesome value in Spanish Supercopa!
2022-01-12

Przem

外籍分析师

西超杯

01/13 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Real Madrid have really good chances to win in today's match and I see excellent value in those odds.

Real have strong mental advantage as they won last 4 consecutive matches against Barcelona. They coming here full of confidence.

For me is very hard to see advantage for Barcelona in any department.

Carlo Ancelotti is more experienced coach than Xavi and he is able to prepare his team better, he already won against Barcelona this year, at Camp Nou. He displayed good strategy.

Real for sure have better goalkeeper - Courtois kept already 3 clean sheets more than Ter Stegen in current La Liga season. Courtois looked really good in last match against Valencia. On the other hand only Gabi (received red card) was worse player than Ter Stegen in last match against Granada.

Real Madrid should be able to control the middle zone without big problems. Their legendary trio Kroos/Casemiro/Modric is simply much better than Busquets with two youngsters Gavi and Nico. Real Madrid in current season have more accurate passes per game than Barcelona.

Barcelona defensive formation is not stable at all - in last 9 matches in all competitions they conceded at least one goal in 8 matches. They kept clean sheet only against poor Mallorca, but that was lucky. According to the expected goals scored model, Mallorca should score 1.26 in that game. In last weeks Eric Garcia looked like the best Barcelona player at the back, but he is unavailable today. It's a big blow. Real kept clean sheet 5 times in last 9 matches, it's huge difference. As well they will use the strongest possible formation today.

I don't even know how to compare offensive formations in this match up. In Barcelona team only Depay scored more than 3 goals in current La Liga season.. On the other hand Vinicius (12 goals) and Benzema (17 goals) are the best scorers in La Liga. Together they scored more goals than Barcelona! Real scored 4 goals in last match against Valencia - Vinicius and Benzema scored 2 goals each and they wants to go with momentum.

According to the ratings, 4 of 5 the best La Liga players in current season are from Real Madrid: Casemiro, Kroos, Benzema and Vinicius.

I see awesome value here. In my eyes odds on Real shouldn't be higher than 1.60.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

皇马拥有强大的心理优势,他们已经连续4场战胜了巴塞罗那。他们满怀信心地来到这里。

对我来说,巴塞罗那在任何方面都很难看到优势。

卡洛·安切洛蒂比哈维更有经验,他能够更好地为球队做准备,他已经在诺坎普赢得了今年对巴塞罗那的比赛。他表现出很好的策略。

皇马当然有更好的门将——在本赛季的西甲联赛中,库尔图瓦已经比斯特根多保持了3场不失球。库尔图瓦在上一场对瓦伦西亚的比赛中表现很好。另一方面,在上一场对格拉纳达的比赛中,只有加比(被红牌罚下)比斯特根更糟糕。

皇马应该能够控制住中场,而不会出现大问题。他们的传奇三人组Kroos/Casemiro/Modric比布斯克茨有两个年轻人Gavi和Nico要好得多。皇家马德里在本赛季的每场比赛都比巴塞罗那有更多的准确传球。

巴萨的防守阵型一点都不稳定——在所有比赛的最后9场比赛中,他们在8场比赛中至少丢了一个球。他们只在对可怜的马洛卡的比赛中保持了零失球,但那是幸运的。根据预期进球模型,马略卡应该在那场比赛中得1.26分。在上个星期,加西亚看起来是巴塞罗那后防线上最好的球员,但是今天他缺席了。这是一个很大的打击。皇马在过去的9场比赛中有5场没有失球,这是巨大的差距。同样,他们今天也会使用最强的阵型。

我甚至不知道如何比较这场比赛中的进攻阵型。在巴塞罗那,迪佩在当前的西甲赛季只进了3个以上的球。相反,维尼舍斯(12球)和本泽马(17球)是西甲最佳射手。他们进的球加起来比巴萨还多!皇马在上一场对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中共进4球,维尼休斯和本泽马各进2球,他们希望继续保持势头。

根据评级,本赛季西甲5名最佳球员中有4名来自皇家马德里:卡塞米罗、克罗斯、本泽马和维尼休斯。

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