Chivas Guadalajara VS Tigres UANL

Chivas Guadalajara welcome Tigres UANL for this Liga MX Apertura round 1 battle Estadio Akron in Zapopan Thursday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played seven games so far. This is the first tier of Mexican football. The level of this league is good by Central/South American standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another pretty lucrative betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won 14/20 of the last games betting on Mexican football . Firstly I want to mention that according to a well-known and respected source, Transfermarkt.com, Tigres Prague are the bigger team here - albeit not by a significant margin. Their squad is valued at almost 71 million euros. This is, in my opinion, a little too low though. The Guadalajara players have an estimated market value of some 66 million but this is too high. Some 52-54 million would be a more accurate number. Guadalajara have not won any of the last six games between the two teams. The most recent game was a draw, played in January. Tigres, the visitors, however, generated 0.12 more in expected goals (xG). They also had 54% ball possession and recorded one more big scoring chance. In the Liga Mex Clausura that finished in the spring, Tigres took 12 more points than Chivas.

The bookies offer hosts odds of around 2.20 on the home win. With the expected line-ups I must disagree! According to my expert analysis the hosts are only very marginal favourites. We will take the Tigres +0.5 goals handicap option. They are currently in 5th place, having suffered only one defeat. They have grabbed a strong 14 points and have scored 16 goals. They have conceded only eight goals - which is the smallest number in this league. Chivas are only in 12th place and have a pretty weak score difference. They have scored 11 goals and do lack some offensive power - especially in terms of speed and creativity. They have allowed 13 goals but their number of expected goals against (xGA) is smaller. They have won only one of their last five games, losing 3/5. In their most recent match they upset Club America 2-1 on the road. The hosts had 64% ball possession and recorded many more total shots - 11-8. However, their offense was strangely static, lacking creativity. Chivas recorded one more big scoring chance - 1-0 to be precise. Before this their performance was okay as a whole but lost to Cruz Azul 1-2 at home. In round 6, on the 22nd of last month (local time) they were priced around 2.20 to beat CLu Tijuana on the road but it was a 3-3 draw. The xG numbers were 2.45-1.93 in the hosts' favour. Tijuana recorded six more big scoring chances - 7-1!

Tigres are undefeated in their last three games. In their most recent game they performed well against Club Leon at home. Indeed, it was a goalless draw but Tigre' J. Sanchez was sent off in the 26th minute. They still generated 0.29 more in xG and had three more total shots. Before this Tigres beat Santos Laguna 1-0 away from home, generating a whopping 3.45 in xG! They had 23 total shots and eight more shots on target. The hosts' H. Ortega was sent off in the 79th minute but I believe the Tigres would have won even without the red card..

GOOD LUCK!

芝华士瓜达拉哈拉VS老虎队UANL

北京时间周四上午，瓜达拉哈拉队将在西甲联赛第一轮对阵老虎队的比赛中迎战阿克伦球场。然而，实际上两队到目前为止已经打了7场比赛。这是墨西哥足球的第一梯队。按照中南美洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是不错的。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场质量有些平庸的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会！事实上，在最近几场赌墨西哥足球的比赛中，我们赢了14/20。首先，我想说的是，根据Transfermarkt.com上一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，布拉格虎队在这里是更大的球队——尽管差距并不大。他们的球队价值近7100万欧元。在我看来，这有点太低了。瓜达拉哈拉球员的市场价值估计约为6600万美元，但这个数字太高了。更准确的数字是5200万至5400万。瓜达拉哈拉在两队之间的最近六场比赛中没有赢过一场。最近的一场比赛是1月份的平局。然而，老虎队，客队，在预期进球数（xG）上高出0.12。他们还有54%的控球率，并且多创造了一次得分机会。在春季结束的西甲联赛中，老虎队比芝华士多拿了12分。

博彩公司提供的主场获胜赔率约为2.20。对于预期的阵容，我不同意！根据我的专家分析，东道主的受欢迎程度非常低。我们将采用老虎+0.5个进球障碍选项。他们目前排名第五，只输了一场。他们已经拿到了14分，打进了16球。他们只丢了8个球，这在联赛中是最少的。芝华士仅排在第12位，得分差距很小。他们已经进了11个球，并且确实缺乏一些进攻力量——特别是在速度和创造力方面。他们丢了13个球，但他们对（xGA）的预期进球数更少。他们最近五场比赛只赢了一场，输了五分之三。在最近的一场比赛中，他们客场2-1击败了美洲俱乐部。主队有64%的控球率，总射门次数也更多——11比8。然而，他们的进攻却出奇地停滞不前，缺乏创造力。芝华士又获得了一个重要的得分机会——准确地说是1-0。在此之前，他们的表现总体上还不错，但在主场1-2输给了蓝色克鲁兹。在上个月22日（当地时间）的第6轮比赛中，他们在客场击败蒂华纳俱乐部时被定价在2.20左右，但最终以3比3战平。对东道主有利的xG值是2.45-1.93。蒂华纳又创造了6次得分机会——7比1！

老虎队在最近三场比赛中保持不败。在最近的一场主场对阵里昂俱乐部的比赛中，他们表现出色。事实上，这是一场0比0的平局，但Tigre J. Sanchez在第26分钟被罚下。他们的得分仍然高出0.29分，总投篮次数也多出3次。在此之前，老虎队在客场1-0击败桑托斯·拉古纳，在xG中创造了惊人的3.45个进球！他们总共射门23次，还有8次射正。东道主奥尔特加在第79分钟被红牌罚下，但我相信老虎队即使没有红牌也能赢。

好运！