In my opinion Vitoria Guimaraes have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I can see around the network is some kind of public bet on home win today, but I'm more than happy to go against Gil Vicente.

Reason of public bet is Vitoria squad problems because of COVID, but it's not like they don't have any good quality to chose today. On the other hand there is as well official information about some unnamed players from Gil Vicente team which have been tested positive for COVID.

According to the ratings Edwards, Rafa Soares, Andre and Tiago Silva are the best Vitoria players in current season and all of them are available today so I not worry so much about Vitoria quality today.

Both teams gained the same amount of points in 16 matches in current season, but difference between quality of play is very visible in Vitoria favor. They scored 22 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 30. Gil Vicente scored 22 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 20. It's big difference.

Gil Vicente not played so good at home so far, they recorded only 2 wins in 8 home matches. On the other hand Vitoria didn't lost in 5 of 8 away matches so far.

I don't see typical big home advantage for Gil Vicente today. It's only 30minutes drive by car from Guimaraes to their stadium. In that case is more like match on neutral ground than real away game. It's not surprise for me Vitoria didn't lost here in last 3 consecutive matches and I really see good opportunity for them to continue that streak today.