On Sunday night, 3 games in the German Bundesliga are going to happen, and one of the games is going to be between Koln and Freiburg. In this duel, I'm going with Freiburg and saying that they won't lose.

Last week, Koln started the new season with a 1:0 road win over Mainz. It wasn't an easy win. While Mainz got a red card in the 60th minute, Koln scored the winning goal only in the 90th minute. If we look at the stats, we can't see that Koln was dominating. Koln had 48% ball control, 12 total shots against 19, 2 shots on target against 2, and 1.36 expected goals against 1.52. In the 2nd half, Koln had a little bit better stats, but the advantage was very narrow, showing that Koln's win was a little bit of luck.

Freiburg's start of the season was a disaster because they conceded 3 goals in the 1st half and lost 1:3 to Augsburg. If we look at the stats, the situation is different. Freiburg had 60% ball control, 3 big scoring chances against 1, 16 total shots against 14, 4 shots on target against 5, and 2.60 expected goals against 1.34. Yes, Freiburg scored the only goal thanks to a penalty, but even in the 1st half, when Augsburg had 3 goals, Freiburg had a better xG rating.

Last year, Koln played in the 2nd Bundesliga and is now back. Yes, this will be their home opener, and expectations will be high, but Freiburg is a tough opponent. If we add their 1st game outcome, I don't see Freiburg losing this game, so that's I'm backing them and predicting they will get at least a point. Since 2021, the team has met in 8 games, and 7 games ended with Freiburg's win or draw.

周日晚上，德甲将有三场比赛，其中一场是科隆和弗赖堡之间的比赛。在这场决斗中，我支持弗赖堡，并且说他们不会输。

上周，科隆队以1:0客场战胜美因茨队开启了新赛季。这场胜利来之不易。美因茨在第60分钟领到红牌，而科隆在第90分钟才打入制胜一球。如果我们看一下数据，我们看不出科隆占据统治地位。科隆的控球率为48%，总射门次数为12次，对手为19次，对手为2次射正，对手为1.52次，预期进球为1.36个。下半场，科隆的数据稍微好了一些，但是优势非常小，说明科隆的胜利有一点运气。

弗莱堡本赛季的开局是一场灾难，因为他们在上半场丢了3个球，以1:3输给了奥格斯堡。如果我们看一下统计数据，情况就不同了。弗莱堡的控球率为60%，对阵1人有3次进球机会，对阵14人有16次射门，对阵5人有4次射正，对阵1.34人有2.6个预期进球。是的，弗赖堡凭借点球打进了唯一的一球，但即使在奥格斯堡打进3球的上半场，弗赖堡的xG评级也更高。

去年，科隆在德甲踢球，现在他又回来了。是的，这将是他们的主场揭幕战，人们对他们的期望很高，但弗赖堡是一个很难对付的对手。如果我们加上他们第一场比赛的结果，我不认为弗赖堡会输掉这场比赛，所以我支持他们，并预测他们至少会得到一分。自2021年以来，两队共交手8场，其中7场以弗赖堡取胜或平局告终。