It's the start of the French Ligue 1! On Sunday night, the champions Paris SG will visit Nantes. In this game, I predict PSG's win with at least 2 goal margin.
Last season, Nantes finished in 13th place. During the summer, the team lost players like Nathan Zeze, Moses Simon, Douglas Augusto and Jean-Charles Castelletto, while they got Johann Lepenant and Chidozie Awaziem. If we compare bought and sold players, Nantes didn't spend a lot of money when buying players. Last season at home, Nantes had 22.2 expected goals and 21 expected goals allowed. During the friendly games, Nantes won the 1st game, but lost the next 4.
Paris Saint-Germain was a dominant force last season as they won another title. During the summer, they lost in the FIFA Club World Cup final, but this week, they won the UEFA Super Cup as they beat Tottenham in the penalty shootout. Last season, PSG had 40.7 expected goals on the road and only 15.1 allowed. Interesting that PSG scored more goals on the road than at home. The team has added players like Ilya Zabarnyi and Lucas Chevalier, who will replace Gianluigi Donnarumma as the No. 1 goalkeeper.
In this game, I'm going with PSG, as their dominance stems not just from a star-studded squad but from a tactical setup that consistently pulls opponents apart. Luis Enrique has built a system full of fluid movement and positional interchanges, making them nearly impossible to mark - especially when opponents sit deep. With elite wide players who excel in 1v1s and a false nine setup that causes constant mismatches, PSG overloads central areas and punishes teams from wide angles or through the middle. While Nantes and PSG played 1:1 last season in Nantes, PSG created 1.78 expected goals while Nantes had 0.50. PSG should start the new season with a comfortable win.
这是法甲联赛的开始!周日晚上,卫冕冠军巴黎SG将做客南特。在这场比赛中,我预测巴黎圣日耳曼将以至少2球的优势获胜。
上个赛季,南特排名第13。夏天,球队失去了内森·泽泽、摩西·西蒙、道格拉斯·奥古斯托和让-查尔斯·卡斯特莱托等球员,而他们得到了约翰·勒彭南特和奇多齐·阿瓦齐姆。如果我们比较买卖球员,南特在购买球员时并没有花很多钱。上赛季在主场,南特有22.2个预期进球,21个预期失球。在友谊赛中,南特赢了第一场比赛,但输掉了接下来的四场比赛。
巴黎圣日耳曼在上个赛季赢得了另一个冠军。今年夏天,他们在国际足联世俱杯决赛中失利,但本周,他们在点球大战中击败热刺,赢得了欧洲超级杯。上个赛季,巴黎圣日耳曼有40.7个客场预期进球,但只丢了15.1个。有趣的是,巴黎圣日耳曼在客场比在主场进了更多的球。球队增加了伊利亚·扎巴尼和卢卡斯·谢瓦利埃等球员,他们将取代吉安路易吉·多纳鲁马成为一号门将。
在这场比赛中,我选择巴黎圣日耳曼,因为他们的统治力不仅来自于明星云集的阵容,还来自于持续将对手拉开的战术安排。路易斯·恩里克建立了一个充满流畅移动和位置互换的体系,使他们几乎不可能被盯防——尤其是当对手坐得很深的时候。巴黎圣日耳曼拥有擅长1v1的精英边路球员,以及导致持续不匹配的假9阵型,这使得中路区域负荷过重,并从广角或中路对球队进行惩罚。上赛季南特和巴黎圣日耳曼在南特1:1的比赛中,巴黎圣日耳曼创造了1.78个预期进球,而南特只有0.50个。巴黎圣日耳曼应该以一场轻松的胜利开始新赛季。