The covid issue is a bit confusing in La Liga, as it seems that the players who produce a negative test result on a match day are available. So the long lists of covid absentees can not be fully trusted.
Fortunately we can make a decision here despite that info as the basic class of these teams is so different, and if any of the covid news are correct it is only a bonus!
Cadiz have been the weakest team in the league so far, and surviving also this season would be - well, not a miracle, but quite an achievement. All of their matches have been a defensive and desperate battle, they have very little of the ball possession, and to win games they need wonder saves from the keeper, and scoring goals with a deadly accuracy. It does happen at times as they do have points, but it is not anything that can be built on.
Cadiz have won 2 games all season, both of them away, at Celta and Bilbao. They are 19th in the table, and according to eye test and the performance stats it is exactly where they belong to be.
The last two matches are draws, before those they were on a run of losing badly Elche, Atletico and Getafe, and as the xG-data shows that they should also had clearly lost the last two it does not say a lot of their form. They did get a 0-0 away at Real Madrid, but they conceded 36 shots in the game!
Today they miss their best scorer Lozano who is responsible of 1/3 of Cadiz goals, defender Cala and half a dozen others but less important players.
Sevilla have not fully impressed this season, still it seems they are the only challenger to the title race against Real Madrid as they do achieve results day after day. The coach Lopetegui believes in his style, they are patient, and in the end someone will score a winner. Their last 7 games are 4-2-1 even if they have met all the top teams in the run. The loss is against Real, and it was a match Sevilla fully dominated until taking the lead, then giving the control to Real was an obvious mistake.
There are defensive absentees at Sevilla, but this is the match where it matters the least as Cadiz are not even normally an offensive threat, but today their absentees are in the attack. It is easy to see how this match goes, Sevilla will have a ridiculous ball possession, they will be outside the box, there will be long shots, there will be dribbles into the box.
As Cadiz are very unlikely to score here I am confident in the way to the neihgbouring Sevilla side.
0-1
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
新冠肺炎问题在西甲有点令人困惑,因为在比赛日检测结果为阴性的球员似乎都可以找到。因此,covid缺席者的长名单不能完全可信。
幸运的是,我们可以在这里做出决定,尽管这些团队的基本级别是如此不同,如果任何covid新闻是正确的,这只是一个额外的奖励!
到目前为止,加的斯是联赛中最弱的球队,如果能在这个赛季中幸存下来,那将会是——好吧,不是一个奇迹,而是一个相当大的成就。他们所有的比赛都是一场防守和绝望的战斗,他们几乎没有控球权,要赢得比赛,他们需要神奇的扑救,以及致命的精准进球。有时确实会发生,因为他们确实有点,但这不是任何可以建立的东西。
加的斯本赛季已经赢了两场比赛,都是客场对塞尔塔和毕尔巴鄂。他们排在第19位,根据视力测试和性能统计,这正是他们应该在的位置。
最后两场比赛都是平局,在那之前他们接连输掉了埃尔切、马竞和赫塔菲,xg数据显示他们也应该输掉最后两场比赛,这并没有说明他们的状态。他们确实在客场0-0击败了皇家马德里,但是他们在比赛中丢了36次球!
今天,他们失去了他们最好的射手洛扎诺,他为加的斯贡献了1/3的进球,后卫卡拉和其他6名不太重要的球员。
塞维利亚这个赛季并没有给人留下深刻的印象,但他们似乎是唯一的挑战者,他们在争夺冠军的竞争中战胜了皇马,因为他们每天都取得了成绩。教练洛佩特吉相信他的风格,他们很有耐心,最终会有人进球。他们最近的7场比赛都是4-2-1,即使他们遇到了所有的顶级球队。败给了皇马,那场比赛塞维利亚在领先之前完全控制了比赛,然后把控制权交给皇马是一个明显的错误。
塞维利亚有很多防守缺阵的球员,但这是一场最不重要的比赛,因为加的斯通常都不是进攻威胁,但今天他们的缺阵都在进攻中。很容易看出这场比赛的走向,塞维利亚将会有一个荒谬的控球,他们将会在禁区外,会有远射,会有运球进禁区。
预测比分0:1。