It's time for the last FIFA Club World Cup quarterfinal! On Tuesday night, a game between Borussia Dortmund and Monterrey. In this game, I predict Borussia's win during the regular time.
During the group stage, Borussia had the 1st place in Group F with 2 wins and 1 draw, a total of 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. In their 1st game, the team drew 0:0 against Fluminense, and even the opponents had a better xG rating. In the next game, Borussia beat Mamelodi Sundowns 4:3, and again, the opponents had a better xG. In their group stage finale, Borussia beat Ulsan HD 1:0 with a much better xG rating - 3.37 vs. 0.23.
Monterrey started the tournament with a 1:1 draw against Inter, but the opponents had a much better xG rating (1.08 vs. 2.68). It was followed by a 0:0 draw against River Plate, but again, there was a huge xG difference (0.13 vs. 1.45). In the last game in the group, they crushed Urawa Reds 4:0, but that was the worst opponent in the group.
Dortmund should win because their pressing and aggressive high turnovers create constant big chances, which Monterrey will struggle to handle. They have strong buildup variations and overload the box with multiple players, making them dangerous against Monterrey’s 4-4-2 low block. Monterrey has shown almost no attacking threat against strong teams, creating just 0.13 xG against River Plate and relying mostly on set pieces.
Dortmund’s ability to disrupt build-up and force errors higher up the pitch gives them a clear edge to control and finish this match strongly. Even though Dortmund’s defense isn’t perfect, Monterrey’s struggles in open play mean they are unlikely to punish those weaknesses. Overall, Dortmund’s superior quality, tactical flexibility, and ability to consistently create high-quality chances should secure a comfortable and confident win.
现在是最后一场世俱杯四分之一决赛的时间!周二晚上,多特蒙德和蒙特雷将进行一场比赛。在这场比赛中,我预测俄罗斯队会在常规时间获胜。
在小组赛中,俄罗斯队以2胜1平的成绩排名F组第一,共进5球失3球。在第一场比赛中,球队0:0战平弗鲁米嫩塞,甚至对手的xG值都比他们高。在接下来的比赛中,俄罗斯队以4:3击败了马梅洛迪日落队,再次,对手有了更好的xG。在小组赛的最后一场比赛中,波罗斯队以1:0击败蔚山HD, xG评分为3.37比0.23。
蒙特雷以1:1战平国米开始比赛,但对手的xG值要高得多(1.08比2.68)。随后与河床队0:0战平,但再次出现了巨大的xG差距(0.13比1.45)。在小组最后一场比赛中,他们4:0大胜浦和红军,但那是小组中最差的对手。
多特蒙德应该赢,因为他们的压力和侵略性的高失误创造了不断的大机会,蒙特雷将努力处理。他们有很强的应变能力,并且有很多球员在禁区内超载,这使得他们在面对蒙特雷4-4-2的低位封盖时非常危险。蒙特雷队在面对强队时几乎没有表现出任何进攻威胁,对阵河床队时只创造了0.13个进球,而且主要依靠定位球。
多特蒙德在场上扰乱阵型和制造失误的能力给了他们一个明显的控制优势,并强有力地结束了这场比赛。尽管多特蒙德的防守并不完美,但蒙特雷在开放式比赛中的挣扎意味着他们不太可能弥补这些弱点。总的来说,多特蒙德出色的实力,灵活的战术,以及持续创造高质量机会的能力,应该能够确保一场舒适而自信的胜利。