It's time for the Gold Cup playoffs! On Sunday night, the last quarterfinal between the USA and Costa Rica is going to happen. In this game, I predict the USA's win.

During the group stage, the USA was the best team in Group D with 3 wins in all games, a total of 8 goals scored, and 1 conceded. The toughest game was against Saudi Arabia, which the USA beat 1:0. The USA conceded only once, and that probably shouldn't have happened, as Haiti created only 0.48 expected goals. If we look at the USA's xG numbers, the team had more expected goals in every game, so they deserved to get all 9 points in the group stage.

Costa Rica was the 2nd-best team in Group A with 2 wins and 1 draw, a total of 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. The game against Suriname was wild because Costa Rica was up 2:0, then they were down 2:3, but a late penalty-winner in the 103rd minute allowed them to win. Expected goals were almost identical for both teams, and Costa Rica scored 2 penalties, showing that Suriname may have deserved more to win. Costa Rica was also down against the Dominican Republic, and Costa Rica drew against Mexico, despite having only 0.35 expected goals against 1.16.

In this game, I'm going with the USA, and they should win during the regular time. They are a better team, and they will be playing in front of their home fans. The United States won the last friendly game 3:0, which happened at the start of this year. Since 2019, the teams have met each other 6 times, and the USA has won 5 matches. Team USA is valued at 175 million euros, while Costa Rica's value stands at almost 43 million euros.

金杯决赛的时间到了！周日晚上，最后一场四分之一决赛将在美国和哥斯达黎加之间进行。在这场比赛中，我预测美国队会赢。

在小组赛阶段，美国队是D组中表现最好的球队，全场3胜，进8球，失1球。最艰难的比赛是对阵沙特阿拉伯，美国以1:0击败了沙特。美国队只丢了一次球，这可能是不应该发生的，因为海地只创造了0.48个预期进球。如果我们看看美国队的xG数据，这支球队每场比赛都有更多的预期进球，所以他们应该在小组赛中得到全部9分。

哥斯达黎加队以2胜1平的成绩排名A组第二，共进7球失4球。对阵苏里南的比赛非常激烈，因为哥斯达黎加队以2:0领先，然后他们以2:3落后，但在第103分钟最后时刻的点球绝杀让他们赢得了比赛。两支球队的预期进球几乎相同，哥斯达黎加打进了2个点球，这表明苏里南可能应该获得更多的胜利。哥斯达黎加在对阵多米尼加共和国的比赛中也落后，在对阵墨西哥的比赛中打成平局，尽管预期进球数只有0.35比1.16。

在这场比赛中，我支持美国队，他们在常规时间应该会赢。他们是一支更好的球队，他们将在他们的主场球迷面前比赛。上一场友谊赛是在今年年初，美国队以3:0获胜。自2019年以来，两队交锋6次，美国队赢了5场比赛。美国队的价值为1.75亿欧元，而哥斯达黎加队的价值接近4300万欧元。