Motivation is growing! 世俱杯 本菲卡VS拜仁
2025-06-24

Jarkko

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Benfica, coached by Bruno Lage and who finished second in Liga Portugal last season, drew 2–2 with Boca Juniors in their opening match in Miami Gardens after coming back from a two-goal deficit. In their second game, Benfica humiliated amateur side Auckland City 6–0 in Orlando last Friday.

In that match, Ángel Di María—who had already scored in the opening game—found the net twice, both goals coming from the penalty spot. Leandro Barreiro also scored twice, while Vangelis Pavlidis and Renato Sanches added one goal each. The expected goals (xG) stat heavily favored the Portuguese side as expected and the score was a fair one.

Team news - Benfica:

Among Benfica’s defenders, Tomás Araújo—who missed both previous matches—will also be sidelined for this game. Fellow defender Alexander Bah, midfielder Manu, and forward Andrea Belotti will also be unavailable. The latter is suspended. Midfielder Florentino may also have to sit this one out.

Benfica’s possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1):

Trubin; Aursnes, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras; Barreiro, Kökçü; Di María, Prestianni, Aktürkoğlu; Pavlidis.

Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich, reigning Bundesliga champions, were pushed to the limit in their second match of the tournament against Boca Juniors, eventually winning 2–1 in Miami Gardens last Saturday. Auckland City had previously been destroyed by the German side 10–0 in Cincinnati nearly a week earlier.

Harry Kane, who surprisingly failed to score in the goal-fest opening game, broke his drought by putting Bayern ahead 1–0 on a rebound in the 18th minute. Miguel Merentiel equalized at 1–1 with a brilliant finish in the 66th minute. In the 84th minute, Michael Olise found space in the bottom left corner after a Kane assist, securing a 2–1 win for Bayern. The xG stats were again close to the actual one, but the 3rd goal for Bayern was closer than Boca's equaliser.

Team news - Bayern:

Bayern defenders Tarek Buchmann, Alphonso Davies, Eric Dier, Hiroki Ito, and Min-jae Kim will miss the match. Additionally, midfielder Jamal Musiala may also be sidelined.

Bayern’s possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1):

Neuer; Laimer, Tah, Stanišić, Guerreiro; Kimmich, Goretzka; Olise, Musiala, Coman; Kane.

A draw is enough for Bayern to secure the top spot in the group. Kompany’s side are clear favorites, especially considering past encounters: Bayern are unbeaten in 7, although only the last win by 1-0 on 2024 has been recent enough to have any impact.

Anyway, a neutral ground, Benfica are good but not among top-10 European sides, and I am happy to take a European top-3 club Bayern with these odds, as we are getting closer to the meaningful phases of this silly tournament, where the monetary prizes are huge even for these big teams!


Good luck mates, have a great day!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

本菲卡由布鲁诺·拉赫执教,上赛季在葡萄牙联赛中排名第二,在迈阿密花园的首场比赛中,本菲卡在落后两球的情况下以2比2战平博卡青年队。上周五,本菲卡在奥兰多的第二场比赛中以6比0羞辱了业余球队奥克兰市。

在那场比赛中,Ángel Di María-who已经在首场比赛中取得了进球——梅开二度,两球都来自点球点。巴雷罗也梅开二度,帕夫利迪斯和桑切斯各进一球。预期进球数(xG)如预期的那样对葡萄牙非常有利,比分也是公平的。

球队新闻-本菲卡:

在本菲卡的后卫中,Tomás Araújo-who缺席了之前的两场比赛,也将缺席本场比赛。同为后卫的亚历山大·巴赫、中场马努和前锋贝洛蒂也将无法出场。后者被暂停。中场弗洛伦蒂诺也可能不得不缺席这场比赛。

本菲卡的首发阵容(4-2-3-1):

Trubin;奥斯内斯、席尔瓦、奥塔门迪、卡雷拉斯;巴雷罗,Kokcu;Di María,普雷斯坦尼,Aktürkoğlu;Pavlidis。

上周六在迈阿密花园球场,孔帕尼率领的拜仁慕尼黑在与博卡青年队的第二场比赛中被逼到极限,最终以2-1获胜。大约一周前,奥克兰市在辛辛那提被德国队以10比0击败。

哈里·凯恩在开场比赛中出人意料地没能进球,但在第18分钟,他的一记回弹帮助拜仁1-0领先。米格尔·梅伦蒂尔在第66分钟用一记精彩的进球将比分扳平。第84分钟,迈克尔·奥利斯接到凯恩的助攻,在左下角找到空档,帮助拜仁2-1获胜。xG的数据再次接近实际,但拜仁的第三个进球比博卡的扳平比分更接近。

球队新闻-拜仁:

拜仁后卫布赫曼、戴维斯、迪尔、伊藤博文和金珉在将缺席本场比赛。此外,中场贾马尔·穆西亚拉也可能缺阵。

拜仁可能的首发阵容(4-2-3-1):

诺伊尔;莱默,塔,Stanišić,格雷罗;Kimmich Goretzka;奥利斯,穆西亚拉,科曼;凯恩。

一场平局足以让拜仁保住小组第一的位置。孔帕尼的球队显然是最受欢迎的球队,尤其是考虑到过去的遭遇:拜仁在7场比赛中保持不败,尽管最近一次1-0的胜利是在2024年,足以产生任何影响。

无论如何,一个中立的场地,本菲卡很好,但不是欧洲前10名的球队,我很高兴以这种赔率选择欧洲前3的俱乐部拜仁,因为我们越来越接近这个愚蠢的锦标赛的有意义的阶段,即使对这些豪门球队来说,奖金也是巨大的!


祝你好运,朋友,有一个美好的一天!

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