On Friday night, the Golden Cup continues with 2nd round games, and one of the matches is going to be between Jamaica and Guadeloupe. In this game, I predict Jamaica's win.
Jamaica didn't start the tournament well as they lost 0:1 to Guatemala. Jamaica controlled the ball 54% of the time, had 4 more shots on target (15 vs. 11), while the big chances were the same as the opponents' - 1. If we look from the xG perspective, Jamaica created an xG of 0.76, while Guatemala had 1.03.
Guadeloupe had a high-scoring tournament opener as they lost 2:5 to Panama. Guadeloupe was already down 0:4 in the 1st half, but they still managed to score twice. Guadeloupe controlled the ball only 37% of the time, created an xG of 1.78, while the opponents created 4.53. Guadeloupe had 9 fewer shots overall and only 1 big scoring chance, while the opponents had 7.
With the 2 best teams going to the next round, this is a must-win game for Jamaica. The 1st loss was a bit unfortunate for Jamaica and they have shown good football previously, with wins over British Virgin Islands, Trinidad and Saint Vincent. While Guadeloupe had a 4 game winning streak before the tournament, all wins were over Nicaragua or the Cayman Islands. For the comparison, these two opponents in the FIFA rankings are in 133rd and 191st place, while Jamaica is the 62nd best.
Jamaica is a better team and should win. If we compare team value according to Transfermarkt, Jamaica is valued at 58.2 million euros, but Guadeloupe is at 10.5 million euros. Jamaica has players who are playing daily in the English Premier League and a lot of them are valued more than 1 million euros, but Guadeloupe have only a couple of very valuable players.
周五晚上,金杯继续进行第二轮比赛,其中一场比赛将在牙买加和瓜德罗普之间进行。在这场比赛中,我预测牙买加会赢。
牙买加在比赛开始时表现不佳,以0:1输给了危地马拉。牙买加队54%的控球率,有4次射正(15比11),而大机会和对手一样,都是1比1。如果我们从xG的角度来看,牙买加的xG为0.76,而危地马拉的xG为1.03。
瓜德罗普队在首场比赛中得分很高,但以2:5输给了巴拿马队。瓜德罗普在上半场就已经0比4落后了,但他们仍然梅开二度。瓜德罗普队只有37%的控球率,创造了1.78的xG,而对手创造了4.53。瓜德罗普少了9次射门,只有1次进球机会,而对手有7次。
有两支最好的球队进入下一轮,这对牙买加来说是一场必须赢的比赛。第一场失利对牙买加来说有点不幸,他们之前在战胜英属维尔京群岛、特立尼达和圣文森特的比赛中表现出色。虽然瓜德罗普岛在比赛前有4连胜,但所有胜利都是对尼加拉瓜或开曼群岛。相比之下,这两个对手在国际足联的排名分别是第133位和第191位,而牙买加排名第62位。
牙买加是一支更好的球队,应该赢。如果我们比较一下Transfermarkt的球队价值,牙买加的价值为5820万欧元,但瓜德罗普的价值为1050万欧元。牙买加有每天都在英超踢球的球员,其中很多人的身价超过100万欧元,但瓜德罗普岛只有几名非常有价值的球员。