In my opinion Sporting is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals margin.

Sporting have excellent streak against Portimonense as they won 11 of 13 matches against them. Sporting won 7 consecutive matches against Portimonense-5 of them with at least 2 goals margin.

Difference between both clubs in terms of quality, ambitions and potential is huge. No doubts about that. Sporting is title defender. On the other hand Portimonense weren't able to finish any of last season even inside top9.

Home advantage should make big difference today as well. Sporting is awesome team at home - they won 20 of last 25 home matches. They conceded only 11 goals in the process and they scored 47 goals! Superb numbers and they have all required tools to continue play on this level. Portimonense had a lot of luck in current season and this is reason why they are overrated in this match up. Portimonense scored 10 goals in their 7 away matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 4.36. On the other hand they conceded only 4 goals in their away matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 9.93. Not too often You can see so big variance. Sooner or later that will back to them.

Sporting motivation for sure is sky-high. After 15 rounds they have the same amounts of points like Porto, but worse goals balance. Porto will play against third Benfica tomorrow so Sporting for sure wants to make 3 points here in great style. goal Every can make difference at the end of the season and decide who will get crowned.

For me Sporting will win this game without too big problems.

在我看来，里斯本竞技显然是今天比赛中最受欢迎的，他们应该能够轻松取胜，至少有2个进球的差距。

在对阵波蒂莫内塞的13场比赛中，他们赢了11场。里斯本竞技连续7场战胜波蒂莫内斯，其中5场至少有2个进球。

两家俱乐部在质量、雄心和潜力方面有着巨大的差异。毫无疑问。里斯本竞技是冠军的捍卫者。另一方面，波蒂莫内塞上赛季甚至没能进入前九。

主场优势今天也会带来很大的不同。在主场，体育是一支很棒的球队——他们在最近的25场主场比赛中赢了20场。在这个过程中，他们只丢了11个球，却进了47个球!出色的数字、他们需要继续维持。波蒂莫内塞本赛季运气很好，这就是为什么他们在这场比赛中被高估的原因。波蒂莫内塞在7场客场比赛中攻入10球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进4.36球。另一方面，他们在客场只丢了4个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢9.93个球。不经常看到这么大的差异。这迟早会回到他们身上。

里斯本竞技的动力肯定是很高的。15轮后，他们的得分和波尔图一样，但净胜球数据落后。波尔图明天将迎战本菲卡队，所以里斯本竞技肯定想在这里获得3分，全力争取冠军。

对我来说，里斯本竞技将在没有太大问题的情况下赢得这场比赛。