FC Inter remains the only unbeaten team in the league, and their performances have at least matched their results. Their most recent 1–0 away win against Jaro was well-earned after a tough battle in challenging conditions. Luka Kuittinen, who has spent the past few weeks with the Finland U21 national team, is back in Inter’s squad, though it wouldn’t be a surprise if the team decided to rest their first-choice centre-back.
Haka, for their part, played one of their best matches of the season just before the international break, defeating VPS 2–1 at home in a result that fully reflected the match’s flow. Their strong season continued in the Finnish Cup as well, where they advanced to the quarter-finals at the expense of Gnistan, although the result was somewhat against the run of play.
Inter is the stronger team overall and, in addition to home advantage, also benefits from Haka’s short recovery time. Based on the expected lineups, I estimate that Inter has about a 70% chance of winning. The match has the potential to be high-scoring and end-to-end, with an expected goal total climbing slightly above three goals.
3-2 or so? Or just 2-1? Whatever, a huge price for +1.5 here.
国际米兰仍然是联赛中唯一一支不败的球队,他们的表现至少与他们的成绩相匹配。他们最近的客场1-0战胜了Jaro,这是在艰难的条件下进行的一场艰苦的战斗之后得来的。过去几周一直在芬兰U21国家队效力的库伊蒂宁回到了国米的大名单中,不过如果球队决定让他们的主力中卫休息,那也不足为奇。
就哈卡而言,在国际比赛日之前,他们在主场2-1击败了VPS,这是他们本赛季最好的比赛之一,这一结果充分反映了比赛的流畅性。他们在芬兰杯上的强势表现也得到了延续,在那里他们击败了格尼斯坦,进入了四分之一决赛,尽管结果有些不利于比赛的进行。
国米是一支整体上更强的球队,除了主场优势,也得益于哈卡的短恢复时间。根据预期的阵容,我估计国米有70%的获胜机会。这场比赛有可能是一场高比分的比赛,预计总进球数将略高于3个。
3-2左右?还是2-1?不管怎样,+1.5的代价太大了。