Sint-Truidense host Eupen for this Belgian Jupiler League round 21 clash at Stayen. I honestly do not expect a match with high-entertainment value here.. I do see a more low-scoring match than the betting market, most pro football bettors and analysts - and perhaps the sports media as a whole. As a result, the probability of a draw is a bit bigger in my papers, hence making our bet Eupen +0.5 goals becomes an even better bet! The hosts have lost five matches in a row and are without a doubt a worse team than Eupen by raw class. They are currently in 16th place with 21 points whereas the visitors have scored 25 points and occupy the 11th place. I believe the hosts, after the five straight losses will choose a pretty cautious, more defensive than usual strategy for this match. They were clearly lacking some confidence in their most recent match - especially offensively. I also want to stress that Sint-Truidense do not have particularly enthusiastic fans and are not a particularly good home team and have won just two of their latest ten home matches. I see them being over-valued by the market here, probably at least partly because of the visitors having a lot more longer list of missing players than them. However, whilst admitting the absences do hurt Eupen, I see too much emphasis being given to these absences!