Who will win the first title in Spain?
2021-01-17

Borja

外籍分析师

西超杯

01/18 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Barcelona and Athletic will fight for the first title this season in Spain. Barcelona asian handicap -0.75 is my bet here.

Barcelona suffered a lot to win against Real Sociedad (better team than Athletic), playing without Leo Messi (injured) but with good performances by other players like Dembele or Griezmann. In the last weeks the level of Barcelona has been growing progressively, and now they are playing very well.

The only problem on this pick is Leo Messi. On Friday he didn't train, but on Saturday he made part of the training and for today is available. Maybe not for the whole 90 minutes, but at least will be on the bench if he is needed.

In the last games we are seeing Barcelona dominating the games, with a very strong attack and scoring goals easily thanks to the new system 4-3-3. Midfielders Pedri and De Jong both are looking very comfortable with the system of coach Ronald Koeman, which is pretty important to dominate matches.

On the other side, Athletic Club managed to qualify deservedly winning against Real Madrid, in a game where Madrid made several mistakes at the back and were harmless in attack. With the new coach they are making a high pressure, but I don't see them able to stop Barcelona here.

Both teams already played a couple of weeks ago, and Barcelona won easily 2:3. Result should have been higher, but missed some chances and Athletic scored at 3’ and 90’ (lack of concentration). In that game, Barcelona dominated the match. Athletic’s midfield with Vencedor and Dani Garcia don't have enough quality to dominate games or get the ball possession.

I see Barcelona a difficult rival for Athletic. The plan of making a high pressure won’t be good because Barcelona is an excellent team breaking high pressures and playing with spaces, thanks to fast players like Dembele or Griezmann. So I can’t really see any scenario favorable to Athletic here. They will be dominated and their pressure will be broken by Barcelona easily.

With Messi of course all will be easier, but even without him I see Barcelona favorite here. For Athletic, achieving the final winning Madrid and in the third official game with a new coach is already a success, while for Barcelona and Koeman the victory is almost mandatory. This isn’t a big title, but nonetheless is a title which is very needed in the club.

Both teams have huge motivation but I see Barcelona one step above here.


巴塞罗那和毕尔巴鄂竞技将在本赛季争取西班牙的第一个冠军头衔。巴塞罗那赢球是我的选择。

巴塞罗那在击败皇家社会(比毕包更好的球队)时遭受了很多损失,没有梅西(受伤)但在其他球员如登贝莱或格里兹曼的比赛中表现出色。在过去的几周里,巴塞罗那的水平一直在逐步提高,现在他们的表现非常好。

唯一的伤停是里奥·梅西(Leo Messi)。在星期五他没有训练,但是在星期六他参加了一部分训练,今天参加了全部训练。也许不能坚持整90分钟,但如果需要的话,至少可以替补出战。

在过去的比赛中,我们看到巴塞罗那在比赛中占据主导地位,这要归功于新系统4-3-3的强劲进攻和进球得分。中场球员佩德里(Pedri)和德容(De Jong)都对教练罗纳德·科曼(Ronald Koeman)的体系非常适应,这对统治比赛至关重要。

另一方面,毕尔巴鄂竞技击败了皇马晋级,皇马的后防犯了一些错误,并且在进攻中没有威胁。有了新教练,他们承受着巨大的压力,但是我不认为他们能够阻止巴塞罗那。

两队几周前有过比赛,巴塞罗那轻松以3:2获胜。分差本应该更大,但是他们却错过了一些机会,毕尔巴鄂的进球时间为3分钟和90分钟(巴萨注意力不集中)。在那场比赛中,巴塞罗那主宰了比赛。毕包的(Vencedor)和丹尼·加西亚(Dani Garcia)的中场表现不足,无法控制比赛或取得控球权。

我认为巴塞罗那是毕包的艰难对手。施加高压的计划不会很好,因为巴塞罗那是一支出色的球队,可以打破高压并利用空间,这要归功于Dembele或Griezmann这样的快速球员。因此这样的情况不利于毕包。他们将被巴塞罗那统治,他们的施压将轻松被打破。

当然有了梅西一切都会变得容易,但是即使没有他,我也认为巴塞罗那可以赢球。对于毕包来说,新教练率队战胜皇马已经是成功的,而对于巴塞罗那和科曼来说,胜利几乎是必须的。这不是一个大的荣誉,但仍然是俱乐部非常需要的荣誉。

这两支球队都有着巨大的动力,但我认为巴塞罗那有望赢球。

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