Hammers against Saints in Boxing Day! 西汉姆联vs南安普敦
2021-12-26

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

12/26 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Southampton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Southampton have huge advantage in fitness department before today's game. For Southampton this is 5th match in December, last match they played 11 days ago. On the other hand this is 7th match for West Ham in December. Last match they played only 4 days ago . It's huge difference and without any shadow of doubt freshness is on guests side.

Obviously, West Ham plays so far much better season than Southampton, but because of fully packed schedule and not so many quality players on the bench their form slashed down so much. West Ham failed to win in last 4 matches in a row in all competitions (3 losses in the process). On the other hand Southampton didn't lost in 3 of 4 December matches (they only lost on away against in-form Arsenal).

I believe Southampton have very strong chances to score at least one goal today. West Ham have huge squad problems in defensive formation. Their 4 key defenders are unavailable today: left defender Cresswell (one of the best Hammer's player in current season) is injured, same as key central defenders pair Zouma and Ogbonna, key right defender Coufal is suspended. West Ham conceded at least one goal in 6 of last 7 matches, they kept clean sheet only against Burnley (team which have huge problems with creativity). On the other hand Southampton scored at least one goal in 10 of last 12 matches and they failed to score against top defensive teams on away (Liverpool and Arsenal). In addition to that their two important strikers are available today: Adams (3 goals and 1 assist) & Armstrong (2 goals and 2 assists). Armando Broja looked good in last matches (scored in 2 of last 3 games).

Southampton manager Hasenhuttl have his all defenders finally available and he is able to set up best possible line up at the back. On the other hand West Ham manager Moyes have big problem because his top scorer and best assistant Antonio (6 goals and 4 assists) had positive test. West Ham scored only one goal in last 4 matches in all competitions.

West Ham conceded 12 goals in their 8 home matches so far. Southampton scored 8 goals in their 9 away matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.45.

In those circumstances I see really good opportunity for guests to make good result. They should score at least one goal and that should be enough to make at least one point.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,南安普敦在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

南安普顿在今天的比赛前在健身方面有巨大的优势。对于南安普敦来说,这是12月的第五场比赛,最后一场比赛是在11天前。另一方面,这是12月对阵西汉姆联的第七场比赛。他们的最后一场比赛是在4天前。这是一个巨大的不同,毫无疑问,新鲜感是在客人的一边。

很明显,西汉姆比南安普顿打得好很多,但由于赛程排得满满的,板凳上又没有那么多高质量的球员,他们的状态下降了很多。西汉姆联在过去的4场比赛中都没有取得胜利(在此过程中有3场失利)。另一方面,南安普顿在12月的4场比赛中有3场没有输(他们只在客场输给了状态良好的阿森纳)。

我相信南安普敦今天有很大的机会至少进一个球。西汉姆联队在防守阵型上有很大的问题。他们的4名关键后卫今天无法上场:左后卫克雷斯韦尔(本赛季Hammer最好的球员之一)受伤,关键的中后卫佐马和奥格博纳,关键的右后卫库法尔停赛。西汉姆最近7场比赛中有6场至少丢了一个球,他们只有在对伯恩利的比赛中保持零失球(这支球队在创造力方面存在很大问题)。另一方面,南安普敦在过去的12场比赛中有10场至少进了一个球,他们在客场对阵顶级防守球队(利物浦和阿森纳)时都没有进球。除此之外,他们还有两个重要的前锋:亚当斯(3粒进球,1次助攻)和阿姆斯特朗(2粒进球,2次助攻)。布罗贾在上一场比赛中表现不错(最近三场比赛中有两场进球)。

南安普顿主教练哈森胡特尔的所有后卫终于可以上场了,他可以在后防线上建立最好的阵容。另一方面,西汉姆主帅莫耶斯遇到了大麻烦,因为他的最佳射手和最佳助手安东尼奥(6粒进球和4次助攻)的测试呈阳性。西汉姆联队在最近4场比赛中只进了一个球。

西汉姆目前在8场主场比赛中丢了12球。南安普敦队在他们的9场客场比赛中进了8球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进11.45球。

在这种情况下,我看到客队有很好的机会取得好的结果。他们应该至少进一个球,这应该足以使至少一分。

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