Parma VS Napoli

Parma challenge Napoli in this Serie A round 37 battle at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma early Monday morningBeijing time. This is the 4th-best league on the planet, behind the English Premier League, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga. Here football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of match of somewhat average level. We have won an awesome 10 of the last 11 picks betting on this league and have yet another betting opportunity here. A total of 38 rounds will be played. Napoli currently top the standings with an impressive 78 points to their account. Inter, the UEFA Champions League finalists, are only one point behind. Indeed, Napoli “can't afford” to drop points as Inter have a fine chance of winning the remaining two matches. By winning both games Napoli will be the champions of Italy – again! Indeed, they won the Serie A in 2023. Their style of play has not been as offensive and entertaining as in the 2022-2023 season but more, I would say, pragmatic and - most importantly – effective! Yes, they have scored “only” 57 goals - and have not even been unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG). However, they have conceded only 27 goals in the Serie A. This is clearly the smallest number in this league. Both Inter and Juventus have allowed 33 goals..

Parma are nothing special as a team and can't match Napoli in any area of the game – not even close. They are in 16th place with 32 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is bigger. They have netted the ball 41 times and have allowed 56. Their defensive structure is not great and silly individual mistakes have been relatively common.. Mathematically they are not yet safe from relegation but in reality they must feel pretty safe.. The last three teams will be relegated and Lecce (18th) and Empoli (19th) have only 28 points in their pocket – and have not been in good form. Furthermore, Lecce and Empoli are – in terms of pure class – pretty poor teams.. Consequently I see Napoli having a slight edge in motivation here. Odds of slightly over 1.50 are available on the betting market and we will place a bet on Napoli. Tactically they are a very mature team and have a much better head coach than the hosts. Parma will be without Charpentier, Kowalski, Osorio and Valenti. Cancellieri, Mihaila and Vogliacco are questionable. As for Napoli, Buongiorno, Juan Jesus and Lobotka are out due to injuries.

According to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Napoli are the bigger team here – by a substantial margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 356 million euros. However, around 400 million would be a more accurate number.. The Parma squad is valued at an estimated approximately 153 million, which is, in my expert opinion, slightly too high.. Napoli have been in fine form recently – undefeated in their last 10 games. Moreover, they have won four of their last five matches. In their last game they had to settle for a 2-2 draw against Genoa at home. However, they would have deserved all three points. Indeed, they recorded a fine 21 total shots, hugely more shots on goal (11-2) and many more big scoring chances.. They also generated 1.25 more in xG than Genoa.. Before this they took four consecutive wins – without allowing a single goal! I was impressed with the way they defended – as a team – in these four games. Parma have won only one of their last 10 games – losing two of their last matches. In their most recent game they lost to Empoli 1-2 away from home, generating only 0.36 in xG and just three total shots – as well as only one shot on target. Empoli had 15 total shots! Parma's L. Valenti was sent off in the 31st minute when the score was 1-0. Parma did not really impress me even before the red card.. In round 35 Parma lost to Como but their performance, as a whole, was okay.

GOOD LUCK!

帕尔马VS那不勒斯

北京时间周一凌晨，意甲联赛第37轮，帕尔马将在帕尔马埃尼奥塔迪尼球场迎战那不勒斯。这是世界上排名第四的联赛，仅次于英超、德甲和西甲。在这里，足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者可以期待一场中等水平的比赛。我们在过去的11次选秀中赢了10次，并且在这里还有另一个投注机会。总共将进行38轮比赛。那不勒斯目前以令人印象深刻的78分排名第一。国际米兰，欧洲冠军联赛的决赛选手，只落后一分。事实上，那不勒斯“不能”丢分，因为国米有很好的机会赢得剩下的两场比赛。赢下两场比赛，那不勒斯将再次成为意大利的冠军！事实上，他们在2023年赢得了意甲冠军。他们的比赛风格不像2022-2023赛季那样具有攻击性和娱乐性，但我想说的是，他们更务实，最重要的是，更有效！是的，他们“只”进了57个球——甚至在预期进球数（xG）方面也不是不走运。然而，他们在意甲联赛中只丢了27球，这显然是联赛中丢球最少的。国米和尤文图斯都丢了33球。

作为一支球队，帕尔马没有什么特别之处，在比赛的任何方面都无法与那不勒斯匹敌——甚至差得远。他们以32分排名第16位。然而，它们的期望值（xPTS）更大。他们共进球41次，失球56次。他们的防守结构不是很好，愚蠢的个人失误相对常见。从数学上讲，他们还不能保证保级，但实际上他们肯定感觉很安全。最后三支球队将被降级，莱切（第18名）和恩波利（第19名）只得到28分，而且状态不佳。此外，莱切和恩波利——从纯粹的水平来看——是相当差的球队。因此我看到那不勒斯在动力上有一点优势。博彩市场上的赔率略高于1.50，我们将把赌注押在那不勒斯身上。在战术上，他们是一支非常成熟的球队，他们的主教练比东道主要好得多。帕尔马将失去查彭蒂耶、科瓦尔斯基、奥索里奥和瓦伦蒂。坎塞利里、米哈伊拉和沃格利亚科都有问题。至于那不勒斯，布翁吉奥诺、胡安·热苏斯和洛博特卡因伤缺阵。

根据Transfermarkt.com，一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，那不勒斯在这里是更大的球队——以相当大的优势。事实上，他们的球员估计总市值约为3.56亿欧元。然而，大约4亿是更准确的数字。帕尔马队的价值估计约为1.53亿欧元，在我的专家看来，这有点太高了。那不勒斯最近状态很好，最近10场比赛保持不败。此外，他们在最近五场比赛中赢了四场。在上一场比赛中，他们不得不在主场以2比2战平热那亚。然而，他们应该得到全部三分。事实上，他们总共射门21次，射正次数（11比2）多得多，还有更多的进球机会。他们在xG的收入也比热那亚多1.25。在此之前，他们取得了四连胜——一球未失！他们在这四场比赛中的防守方式给我留下了深刻的印象。帕尔马在最近10场比赛中只赢了一场，输了两场。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们客场1-2不敌恩波利，全场射门只有0.36，总共只有3次射门，而且只有1次射正。恩波利总共射门15次！帕尔马的瓦伦蒂（L. Valenti）在比分为1-0的第31分钟被罚下。即使在红牌之前，帕尔马也没有给我留下深刻的印象。在第35轮帕尔马输给了科莫，但是他们的整体表现还不错。

好运！