71% WINS SERIE A! 意甲 帕尔马VS那不勒斯
2025-05-18

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Only 2 rounds are left in the Italian Serie A. On Sunday night, a game between Parma and Napoli will happen. After 36 rounds, Parma has 6 wins, 14 draws, 16 losses, a total of 32 points and 16th place, while Napoli has 23 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses, a total of 78 points and 1st place. In this game, I predict Napoli's win.

Parma is 4 points above the relegation zone, and they can feel relatively safe. The team has lost the last 2 games. Before that, they had 6 draws in 8 games. If we look at the xG stats, Parma should have won 1 and lost 3 out of those 6 draws. At home, Parma has been a decent team with 5 wins and 5 draws in 18 games, a total of 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 25.2, xGA is at 27, with a difference of -1.8.

These are the 2 most important games for Napoli this season. They are going after the Serie A title, and they have a 1-point advantage over Inter. Napoli has 6 wins and 3 draws in the last 9 games, but they couldn't beat Genoa last week at home, and they drew 2:2. Napoli lost some very important points, so their motivation for this game should be sky-high. If we look at all 3 draw xG's, Napoli should have won each of them. On the road this season, Napoli has been one of the best teams with 10 wins and 6 draws in 18 games, a total of 27 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 20.3 on the road, xGA is at 15, with a difference of 5.5.

I'm backing Napoli in this important game. The team will be focused and ready to dominate after last week's poor performance. While Parma can be a tough opponent at home, they have conceded the 3rd-most goals at home, while Napoli is one of the highest-scoring road teams. This is a much different Napoli than it was at the start of the season, and I see them winning this match.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

意甲联赛只剩下2轮了。周日晚上,帕尔马和那不勒斯将进行一场比赛。36轮过后,帕尔马6胜14平16负,共积32分排名第16,而那不勒斯23胜9平4负,共积78分排名第1。在这场比赛中,我预测那不勒斯会赢。

帕尔马比降级区高出4分,他们可以感到相对安全。这支球队最近输了两场比赛。在此之前,他们8场比赛6平。如果我们看一下xG数据,帕尔马应该在这6场平局中1胜3负。在主场,帕尔马在18场比赛中取得了5胜5平的成绩,进了25球丢了28球。这支球队的xG值为25.2,xGA值为27,两者相差-1.8。

这是那不勒斯本赛季最重要的两场比赛。他们正在争夺意甲冠军,他们比国米领先1分。那不勒斯在最近的9场比赛中取得了6胜3平的战绩,但他们上周在主场没能击败热那亚,他们2:2战平了热那亚。那不勒斯失去了一些非常重要的分数,所以他们对这场比赛的动力应该是非常高的。如果我们看一下所有的3场平局,那不勒斯应该赢得每一场。在本赛季的客场比赛中,那不勒斯在18场比赛中取得了10胜6平的成绩,进27球失14球,是最好的球队之一。球队在客场的xG值为20.3,xGA值为15,两者相差5.5。

在这场重要的比赛中,我支持那不勒斯。在上周的糟糕表现之后,球队将会集中精力,准备好称霸。虽然帕尔马在主场可能是一个很难对付的对手,但他们在主场丢的球排名第三,而那不勒斯是客场进球最多的球队之一。这是一个与赛季初大不相同的那不勒斯,我认为他们会赢得这场比赛。

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