Alianza Lima VS Sao Paulo

Alianza Lima and Sao Paulo lock horns in this Copa Libertadores group stage Group D round 4 clash at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in Lima early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the best South American (international) club competition. The level of this competition is good by global standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors can expect a match of pretty good quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have another very lucrative betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won eight of the last nine picks betting on Copa Libertadores! The hosts are a Peruvian team, the visitors come from Brazil. Sao Paulo have taken seven points so far – and top Group D. They have scored five goals and have conceded two goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger! Lima have performed quite well – and occupy 3rd place with four points in their pocket. They have both scored and allowed five goals. They definitely have room for improvement.. Yes, the Brazilian Serie A is, as a whole, of a better level than the Peruvian Liga 1. Even so, I do not agree with the bookmakers here. In terms of pure class the Brazilians are the better team here but the current odds of around 2.30 on the away win are too low. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, they deserve to be only narrow favourites here. The Lima +0.5 goals handicap option is the obvious professional bettor's choice here! Sao Paulo will be without Robert Arboleda, Jonathan Calleri, Henrique Carmo, Igor Vinicius, Luiz Gustavo, Oscar and Pablo Maia here. As for the hosts Archimbaud, Cantero, Enrique and Zambrano are out.

Sao Paulo finished only in 6th place in the Serie A that finished in December 2024. They took 59 points and had quite a lot of luck on their side in quite a few matches. The 59 points was 20 points less than the champions, Botafogo RJ, managed to grab. I want to stress that Sao Paulo are not among the biggest/ best teams in Brazil.. Alianza Lima, on the other hand, are a strong team by Peruvian standards.. They are currently in 5th place in the Liga 1 Apertura – after 9-11 matches played by each team. They have grabbed 19 points – and have a score difference of 12:9. The nine goals allowed is – together with U. de Deportes – the lowest number in this league. I expect them to play pretty defensively eben at home, mainly relying on fast counter attacks and set pieces to net the ball.. The counter attacks is something they are, in fact, pretty good at! The goal expectancy here is even a bit smaller than the bookmakers estimate. Yes, the teams locked horns some three weeks ago in Brazil and it was a 2-2 draw but the goal expectancy (both teams combined) was only 2.37. Sao Paulo were closer to winning but were not as strong as the odds reflected.. Indeed, they had only one more shot on goal and bif scoring chance than the Peruvians. The Peruvians showed great fighting spirit coming back from 0-2 in the 2nd half!

Lima have lost only one of their last six games. This defeat came in their most recent match. They faced Cienciano – losing 0-1 in the end. They did have many more total shots though – 16-13 to be precise. They were far from their best – and were, in all honesty, disappointing as a whole but I will not overreact to this defeat. The visitors defended much better than probably anyone would have expected. Most of Lima's attacks were a bit too slow, lacking speed and passing accuracy in key areas – near the visitors' goal. Before this they took three consecutive fine wins! Before losing to Cienciano they beat a very dangerous Argentinian team, Talleres Córdoba, 3-2 at home – as underdogs on the betting market. It was a round 3 clash of this competition. Lima's Zambrano was sent off in the 82nd minute and scored the winning goal when playing with 10 men! Lima deserved the win as they recorded many more total shots (17-11), shots on goal (7-4) and big scoring chances – 3-1 to be precise. They also generated 0.49 more in expected goals (xG). On the 19th of April Alianza Lima beat Los Chankas 1-0 at home – after a fine defensive performance! Indeed, the visitors had no big scoring chances. The xG numbers were 2.23-0.38. No, Sao Paulo have not lost a game for a pretty long time but have played very many draws. Moreover, they have had some luck in many games to avoid defeat. They have won one of their last three games. In their most recent match they faced Fortaleza at home – priced around 1.85 to win by the bookies. No goals were scored but the visitors recorded many more total shots. Sao Paulo did have more shots on goal though..

GOOD LUCK!

利马联盟VS圣保罗

北京时间周三凌晨，在利马的亚历杭德罗·维拉纽瓦球场，利马联盟队和圣保罗队将在解放者杯小组赛D组第4轮的比赛中展开对决。这是南美洲最好的（国际）俱乐部比赛。以全球标准衡量，这次比赛的水平是好的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看质量相当不错的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝有了另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会！事实上，我们在过去9次下注解放者杯的比赛中赢了8次！东道主是秘鲁队，客队来自巴西。圣保罗队目前已积7分，排在d组第一。他们进了5球，丢了2球。然而，他们的预期进球数（xGA）要大得多！利马表现相当不错，目前以四分的成绩排名第三。他们都进了5个球，也丢了5个球。他们肯定还有改进的空间。是的，巴西甲级联赛，作为一个整体，比秘鲁甲级联赛水平更高。即便如此，我也不同意这里的博彩公司。从纯粹的等级来看，巴西人在这里是更好的球队，但目前客场获胜的赔率约为2.30，这太低了。在预期的阵容中，考虑到巨大的主场优势，他们在这里应该只是一个微弱的热门。利马+0.5个进球障碍选项显然是职业赌徒的选择！圣保罗将没有罗伯特·阿博莱达、乔纳森·卡莱里、恩里克·卡尔莫、伊戈尔·维尼修斯、路易斯·古斯塔沃、奥斯卡和巴勃罗·马亚。至于东道主阿尚博、坎特罗、恩里克和桑布拉诺都不在名单上。

圣保罗在2024年12月结束的意甲联赛中仅排名第六。他们拿到了59分，在几场比赛中运气都很好。59分比冠军博塔弗戈RJ少了20分。我想强调的是，圣保罗并不是巴西最大/最好的球队之一。另一方面，阿里扎利马队是秘鲁标准下的一支强队。在两队共打了9-11场比赛之后，他们目前在西甲联赛中排名第五。他们拿到了19分，分差是12:9。9个失球——加上德国的失球——是联赛中最少的。我希望他们在主场打得很防守，主要依靠快速反击和定位球来网球。事实上，反击是他们非常擅长的！这里的进球预期甚至比博彩公司估计的还要小一点。是的，两队大约三周前在巴西发生了争执，结果是2比2战平，但预期进球（两队加起来）只有2.37个。圣保罗队更接近获胜，但并不像赔率所反映的那么强。事实上，他们只比秘鲁人多一次射门，而且得分的机会也很少。秘鲁人在下半场0-2落后的情况下表现出了强大的斗志！

利马队最近六场比赛只输了一场。这次失败发生在他们最近的比赛中。他们面对西西亚诺，最后以0-1输掉了比赛。不过他们的总出手次数要多得多——准确地说是16-13。他们远没有达到自己的最佳状态，说实话，整体上令人失望，但我不会对这场失败反应过度。客队的防守可能比任何人预料的都要好得多。利马的大多数进攻都有点太慢了，在关键区域——客队球门附近——缺乏速度和传球准确性。在此之前，他们取得了三连胜！在输给西恩西亚诺之前，他们在主场以3-2击败了一支非常危险的阿根廷球队——塔列雷斯Córdoba——在博彩市场上是不被看好的球队。这是这次比赛的第三轮比赛。利马的桑布拉诺在第82分钟被罚下，在10人的情况下打进了制胜一球！利马配得上这场胜利，因为他们的射门次数（17胜11负）、射正次数（7胜4负）和大进球机会（准确地说是3胜1负）更多。他们还产生了0.49的预期目标（xG）。4月19日，利马联盟队在主场1-0击败了洛斯钱卡斯队——在他们出色的防守表现之后！事实上，客队没有大的得分机会。xG值为2.23 ~ 0.38。不，圣保罗已经有很长一段时间没有输过一场了，但他们打了很多平局。此外，他们在许多比赛中都有一些运气，避免了失败。他们最近三场比赛赢了一场。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场面对福塔莱萨，博彩公司开出的胜率约为1.85英镑。虽然没有进球，但客队的总射门次数更多。不过圣保罗的射门确实更多…

好路