In my opinion Fiorentina have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up (big possiblity for three). +0 AH (or more safe +0.5) looks like great bet here. For me Fiorentina should be much bigger favorite than bookies wants to suggest for us in current odds.

It's not the longest trip for guests-it's less than 3 hours drive by car from Fiorentina to Verona. Fiorentina have awesome streak in away matches against Verona as they didn't lost in 7 consecutive games at stadio Bentegodi and recorded 6 wins in the process . In previous season they won here 2:1 and for sure they have big mental advantage.

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. Verona is typical type of the team for middle of the table. Currently they are on 13th place and won only in 33% of matches (6/18). On the other hand Fiorentina wants to play in European Cups in next season and they have all required tools to make it happen. Currently they are in top6 and only 4 teams in whole league recorded more than wins than Fiorentina (10 wins in 18 matches). Fiorentina have much bigger quality in their squad and they are much better team than Verona in all statistics. Fiorentina have 5.1 shots on target per game (only Sassuolo and Inter have more), Verona is bottom half of the table in that department. Fiorentina conceded less goals per game (1.4 against 1.7) and have more clean sheets. Fiorentina is superb team with the ball-they have 56.4% average ball possession (only Napoli have higher in whole Serie A). 100 accurate passes per game more than Verona with 86.2% accuracy. They should be able to control middle zone without too big problems.

Both teams have great strikers-Vlahovic from Fiorentina currently is the best scorer in Serie A with 16 goals, Simeone from Verona is at third place with 12 goals. They are able to make big difference today, but here as well I see advantage for Fiorentina . Simeone had a lot of luck so far and he is not that good to keep that level for long period of time. He scored 12 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model he should score only 4.38! In last match Verona failed to score and looked very poor upfront-they had only 0.35 expected goals scored in their 0:1 loss on away against Torino. Fiorentina in their last four consecutive Serie A matches had expected goals conceded number below 1.01. I don't see easy goalscoring for hosts today.On the other hand Vlahovic looks unstoppable at the moment-he scored 33 goals in Serie A in 2021 (best result since 1950), he scored in last 6 matches in a row and he should be able to make a lot of damages today as well . Verona coming for this game without their 3 key central defenders Magnani, Dawidowicz and Ceccherini (each of them played at least 14 matches). I see big problems for reserve central defender Cetin (played only 2 matches so far) to stop Vlahovic. Fiorentina scored more than one goal in last 5 matches in a row and they are able to do it today once again. Verona conceded more than one goal in 4 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.

On the top of that, Fiorentina is in much better form than Verona. They coming here full of confidence as went unbeaten in last 5 matches in a row (4 wins in the process). On the other hand Verona won only once in last 6 matches, against poor Venezia (16th place). Verona lost last 3 matches in a row and morale in team must be on very low level.

I don't see home win here at all, excellent value on away side in current odds and lines.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来佛罗伦萨在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分(很有可能得三分)。+0 AH(或者更安全的+0.5)看起来是一个很好的赌注。对我来说，佛罗伦萨应该是更大的希望，比博彩想要为我们目前的赔率建议。

对客人来说，这不是最长的旅程——从佛罗伦萨到维罗纳不到3个小时的车程。佛罗伦萨在客场对阵维罗纳的比赛中有着惊人的连胜，他们在本特戈迪球场连续7场比赛没有输掉比赛，并且取得了6场胜利。在上个赛季，他们在这里以2:1获胜，当然他们有很大的心理优势。

我看到了两支球队在质量、雄心和潜力方面的巨大差异。维罗纳是典型的中路球队。目前他们排在第13位，只有33%的胜率(6/18)。另一方面，佛罗伦萨希望在下赛季参加欧洲冠军杯，他们已经拥有了实现这一目标所需的所有工具。目前他们在全联盟排名前6，只有4支球队的胜场数超过了佛罗伦萨(18场比赛10胜)。佛罗伦萨的阵容比维罗纳强得多，从数据上看他们比维罗纳强得多。佛罗伦萨场均有5.1次射正(只有萨索洛和国米有更多)，维罗纳在这方面排名垫底。佛罗伦萨场均失球更少(1.4比1.7)，并且有更多的不失球。佛罗伦萨在控球方面是一流的球队，他们的平均控球率为56.4%(在整个意甲联赛中只有那不勒斯更高)，场均100次准确传球，比维罗纳(86.2%)多。他们应该能够控制中间区域而不会有太大的问题。

两支球队都有优秀的前锋——佛罗伦萨的弗拉霍维奇以16粒进球位居意甲最佳射手，维罗纳的西蒙尼以12粒进球位居第三。他们今天能够做出很大的改变，但在这里我也看到了佛罗伦萨的优势。西蒙尼目前运气很好，他不太可能长时间保持这个水平。他进了12个球，但根据预期进球模型，他应该只进了4.38!在上一场比赛中，维罗纳没有进球，而且看起来很糟糕，在客场0:1输给都灵的比赛中，他们只有0.35个预期进球。佛罗伦萨在过去的四场意甲比赛中预期失球数低于1.01。我认为东道主今天的进球并不容易。另一方面，弗拉霍维奇现在看起来势不可挡，他在2021年意甲打进了33个进球(自1950年以来最好的成绩)，他在最近的6场比赛中连进一球，今天他应该也能制造很多破坏。维罗纳本场比赛没有他们的三个关键中卫马纳尼、达维多维奇和切切里尼(他们每人至少打了14场比赛)。我看到预备队中后卫切廷(到目前为止只踢了2场比赛)在阻止弗拉霍维奇时遇到了很大的问题。佛罗伦萨在最近的5场比赛中连续进了一个以上的球，今天他们再次做到了这一点。维罗纳在过去的6场比赛中有4场失球超过1球。

最重要的是，佛罗伦萨的状态比维罗纳要好得多。他们带着信心来到这里，因为他们在过去的5场比赛中保持不败(4胜)。另一方面，维罗纳在过去的6场比赛中只赢了一场，那就是对贫穷的Venezia(第16名)。维罗纳连输三场比赛，球队士气肯定很低。

我觉得主场根本赢不了，在目前的赔率和罚球线下，客场很有价值。