The long list of absentees at Barca, as well as the irregular performances do make a good case to bet against them, but the Sevilla last time was the most tired team I have seen for a long time and they can not take this match now in optimal condition. Lucas Ocampos, the player who is usually everywhere had to be carried out of the pitch because he felt dizzy, it was a knock or anything, simply fatigue. Several others have the same feeling as Sevilla have played all the cup competitions basically with 14 players, and now they are more or less finished, and they struggled 120 minutes at Mallorca in a cup match v a lower league team and had a lucky escape!

Sevilla may be the 2nd in the table, but there is a lof of good luck in the result. They are 10 points ahead of Barcelona, but the performance data sugggests it should be the other way around! There are also significant absentees, as the best two options for right back are out, Navas and Montiel, and in the left Acuna who has been superb recently is a strong doubt. Ocampos? Nothing serious with him, he is just out of battery. There are half a dozen long-term absentees, the only good news is that Fernando returns from suspension, and Kounde can play any role like he has done and will probably take over right full back.

Sevilla have won last 3 games, without deserving actually any of the points in the matches, not even draws. The xG-data of those look like this:

Even if Barcelona are not what they were they can also most likely create at least 2.0 worth of goal expectation and it is enough for at least one point.

Xavi have introduced us even new kids, and the common thing is that they all impress! Against Elche last time they had deservedly scored twice before half-time, Ferrán Jutglà giving a wonderful performance, and the other two goals were scored by Nico and Gavi. The kids do carry the Barca side!

This could be fun, Barcelona for sure do have their weaknesses and for example even Ter Stegen and Alba have been prone to mistakes, but they can also still give the best performance in this league at least momentarily, and there is no better time to face Sevilla than today, they are exhausted.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

巴萨的缺席名单很长，而且他们的表现也很不稳定，这是打赌他们输掉比赛的好理由，但是塞维利亚是我很长一段时间以来见过的最疲惫的球队，他们现在不能在最佳状态下进行这场比赛。卢卡斯·奥坎波斯，这个经常出现在任何地方的球员不得不被抬出球场，因为他感到头晕，这是一种撞击或其他什么，只是疲劳。其他几支球队也有同样的感觉，塞维利亚在所有的杯赛上基本上都用了14名球员，现在他们或多或少完蛋了，他们在马洛卡和一个低级别联赛的比赛中挣扎了120分钟，侥幸逃脱!

塞维利亚可能是积分榜上的第二名，但在结果中有很多的好运气。他们领先巴塞罗那10分，但性能数据表明，情况应该相反!同时也有很多人缺席，因为右后卫最好的两个选择，纳瓦斯和蒙蒂尔都不在了，而左路的阿库纳最近表现出色，这是一个很大的疑问。奥坎波?他没什么大不了的，只是没电了。有六名球员长期缺阵，唯一的好消息是费尔南多从停赛中复出，孔德可以像他以前那样扮演任何角色，而且很可能会接任右后卫。

塞维利亚在过去的三场比赛中都赢了，但实际上并没有得到任何一分，甚至连平局都没有。其中的xg数据如下:

即使巴塞罗那现在已经不是以前的样子，他们也很有可能创造出至少2.0的进球期望，这已经足够获得至少一分了。

哈维甚至给我们介绍了一些新人，而共同之处在于他们都给我们留下了深刻的印象!上次对埃尔切的比赛中，他们在半场结束前打进了两个球，Ferrán Jutglà表现出色，另外两个球是由尼科和Gavi打进的。孩子们确实是巴萨的主力!

这可能是有趣,巴萨肯定有自己的弱点,例如甚至Ter Stegen和阿尔巴容易错误,但他们仍能给最佳的性能在这个联盟至少暂时,没有比现在更好的时间面对塞维利亚,他们疲惫不堪。

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