CA Platense VS Talleres Cordoba
Platense and Talleres Cordoba lock horns in this Liga Profesional Apertura round 15 battle at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López in Buenos Aires early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Argentinian football. The level of this league is relatively high by global standards. In South America it is the second-best league – only the Brazilian Serie A is better. Football fans and us serious bettors can expect a match of rather mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have another very lucrative betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won a fine nine of the last 11 picks betting on this league - and 12 /15 of the last picks in all competitions – at the time of posting this analysis. Platense currently occupy the 7th place in Group B. A total of 16 teams play in each group. Platense have a decent 20 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller – 15.33 to be . They have netted the ball only a lame 11 times and have conceded only nine goals in 14 games. However, I want to stress that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per game is hugely bigger - 1.42! Yes, Talleres de Cordoba have been a slight disappointment so far, there is no denying this.. However, they have also suffered from bad luck in quite a few games. They are only in 12th place at the moment – with 13 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is, however, significantly bigger. Talleres Cordoba have a score difference of 9:11 I want to highlight that this is massively misleading! Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) per match is 1.87.
According to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Talleres Cordoba are the bigger team here – by a very clear margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 47 million euros. The Platense squad is valued at an estimated approximately 24 million. Both numbers are, in my expert opinion, more or less correct. The bookmakers have made yet another mistake - seeing the hosts as narrow favourites here.. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis Cordoba deserve to be the favourites, but not very clear, of course. The hosts have won one of their last three games. In their most recent match they beat Sarmiento Junin 1-0 away from home – as favourites on the betting market. However, either tea could easily have taken all three points. The hosts had 53% ball possession and recorded one more total shot – 12-11. Before this they welcomed Rosario Central and it was a goalless draw after a pretty boring 90 minutes of football. Neither team generated even 0.50 in xG. Performance-wise Cordoba have not been at their best recently. However, they have still been better than their results (one win in their last five games) would suggest.. In their most recent match they travelled to Lima, Peru, playing a tactically tricky opponent Alianza Lima. It was a Copa Libertadores group stage round match. It was an open and pretty entertaining game. The hosts generated only 0.19 more in xG so either team could have won.. Before this they welcomed Velez Sarsfield at home – losing 0-1. However, they recorded 13 more total shots, many more shots on goal and 0.56 more in xG than the visitors!
GOOD LUCK!
普拉坦塞VS塔雷雷斯科尔多瓦
北京时间周三凌晨,在布宜诺斯艾利斯维森特城体育场López举行的西甲联赛第15轮比赛中,普拉坦塞和塔列斯科尔多瓦将展开较量。这是阿根廷足球的最高水平。按照国际标准,这个联赛的水平是比较高的。在南美,它是第二好的联赛,只有巴西的意甲比它更好。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看质量相当平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝有了另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!事实上,在过去的11次选秀中,我们赢了9次,在所有的比赛中,我们赢了15次选秀中的12次。普拉塔塞目前在b组排名第7,每组共有16支球队参赛。普拉塔塞有20分的可观收入。然而,它们的期望点数(xPTS)较少,为15.33。他们在14场比赛中只有11次进球,只丢了9个球。然而,我想强调的是,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xGA)要大得多——1.42!是的,到目前为止,塔列雷斯·德·科尔多瓦有点令人失望,这是不可否认的……然而,他们在相当多的比赛中也遭遇了霉运。目前他们只排在第12位,已经拿到了13分。但是,它们的xpt数量要大得多。塔列斯·科尔多瓦队的比分是9:11我想强调的是,这是非常误导人的!事实上,他们每场比赛的预期进球数(xG)是1.87。
根据Transfermarkt.com,一个知名和受人尊敬的消息来源,塔列雷斯科尔多瓦是这里更大的球队——以非常明显的优势。事实上,他们的球员估计总市值约为4700万欧元。普拉塔塞队的价值估计约为2400万英镑。在我看来,这两个数字或多或少是正确的。博彩公司又犯了一个错误——把东道主视为微弱的夺冠热门。根据我以数据为基础的专家分析,科尔多瓦应该是最受欢迎的,但当然不是很清楚。东道主在最近三场比赛中赢了一场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场1-0击败了萨米恩托·朱宁,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。然而,任何一种茶都可以轻易拿下这三分。主队有53%的控球率,并以12比11的比分多投了一球。在此之前,他们迎来了罗萨里奥中央,在90分钟的无聊比赛之后,双方以0比0战平。两支球队在xG的得分都没有达到0.50。就表现而言,科尔多瓦最近并没有处于最佳状态。然而,他们仍然比他们的成绩(最近五场比赛一胜)所显示的要好。在最近的一场比赛中,他们前往秘鲁的利马,面对的是战术上棘手的对手利马联盟队。这是一场解放者杯小组赛。这是一场公开而有趣的比赛。东道主在xG只多创造了0.19个进球,所以两队都有可能赢。在此之前,他们在主场迎来了萨斯菲尔德,但以0比1输掉了比赛。然而,他们的射门次数比客队多13次,射正次数多很多,在xG上的射门次数比客队多0.56次!
好运!