Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys VS CA Huracan

Newells Old Boys host Huracan in this Liga Profesional Apertura round 15 clash at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in Rosario very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Argentinian football. The level of this league is quite high by global standards. In South America it is the second-best league – behind the Brazilian Serie A. Football fans and us serious bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly my fans and I have another very lucrative betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won nine of the last 11 picks betting on this league - and 12 /15 of the last picks in all competitions. Huracan currently occupy the 3rd place in Group A. A total of 16 teams play in each group. Huracan have an impressive 27 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is marginally smaller. They have netted the ball 19 times and have conceded only nine goals in 14 games. However, I want to emphasize that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per game is 1.63. They have lost only one game in this competition – which is the lowest number of defeats in Liga Profesional Apertura – together with Argentinos Jrs.. Newells Old Boys are only in 11th place and have a pretty poor score difference of 10:14. I want to highlight that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) per match is 1.74! Indeed, their defensive structure is, in reality, not great and silly individual mistakes do happen..

The bookies have made yet another mistake - seeing the hosts as the favourites here. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis Huracan deserve to be the favourites, albeit not very clear. The goal expectancy here is very low. Consequently the draw is almost as probable a result as the away win. We will take the Huracan +0.5 goals handicap option. I want to stress that they have not lost any of their last 15 games – winning 10/15. As a result they should feel very confident here as well. In their last game they faced America de Cali, a Colombian team, at home – and had to settle for a 1-1 draw. It was a Copa Libertadores group stage round 3 battle. Huracan would have deserved all three points as they recorded eight more total shots and five more shots on goal – 6-1 to be precise. Huracan also had more big scoring chances and corner kicks. Before this Huracan welcomed Defensa y Justicia and were hugely the better team on the pitch – recording a whopping 27 total shots and five more big scoring chances. The xG numbers were 2.41-0.57. The visitors' Soto was sent off late into the first half - when the score was 0-1. In round 13 this they were excellent – beating Central Cordoba 2-1 away from home – as underdogs on the betting market. They recorded many more shots on goal (5-2) and big scoring chances. They also generated 0.81 more in xG than the hosts. Before this they crushed Racing Montevideo, a decent Uruguayan team, 5-0 at home. They recorded more total shots, shots on target, big scoring chances and corner kicks. They allowed the visitors only 0.43 in xG. However, the final score does flatter Huracan.. The hosts have won only one of their last four games in the 90 minutes of play. In their last game they were lucky to get a point from Union de Santa Fe on the road. The hosts had 12 more shots on goal – 14-2 to be precise. The Newells Boys offense lacked speed, structure and creativity. The hosts also recorded 10 more total shots and 1.29 more in xG. Newells Old Boys have not won any of the last five games between these two teams. They last locked horns in November 2024 and Huracan took a 4-2 away win!

GOOD LUCK!

亚特兰大纽维尔老男孩队VS加州胡拉坎队

北京时间周三凌晨，西甲联赛第15轮将在罗萨里奥的马塞洛·贝尔萨球场进行，纽维尔老男孩将主场迎战胡拉坎。这是阿根廷足球的最高水平。按照国际标准，这个联赛的水平是相当高的。在南美，它是仅次于巴西甲级联赛的第二好的联赛，球迷们和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来说质量有些平庸的比赛！最重要的是，我和我的粉丝有了另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会！事实上，在过去的11次选秀中，我们赢了9次，在所有比赛中，我们赢了15次选秀中的12次。Huracan目前在A组排名第三，每组共有16支球队参赛。Huracan有令人印象深刻的27分。然而，它们的期望值（xPTS）略小一些。他们在14场比赛中打进19球，只丢了9球。然而，我想强调的是，他们每场比赛的预期进球数（xGA）是1.63。他们在这项比赛中只输了一场比赛，这是西甲职业联赛中输球次数最少的一次，与阿根廷人一起。纽维尔老男孩队只排在第11位，成绩差得很低，只有10:14分。我想强调的是，他们每场比赛的预期失球数（xGA）是1.74！事实上，他们的防御结构实际上并不好，个人的愚蠢错误确实会发生。

博彩公司又犯了一个错误——把东道主视为最受欢迎的球队。根据我以数据为基础的专家分析，Huracan应该成为最受欢迎的球队，尽管不是很清楚。这里的目标期望值非常低。因此平局的可能性几乎和客场获胜的可能性一样大。我们将采用Huracan +0.5进球障碍选项。我想强调的是，他们在过去的15场比赛中没有输过一场，10胜15负。因此，他们在这里也应该感到非常自信。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对哥伦比亚球队美洲卡利队，结果只得1-1战平。这是解放者杯小组赛第三轮的比赛。胡拉坎本应得到这三分，因为他们总共射门8次，射正5次，准确地说是6比1。Huracan也有更多的进球机会和角球。在此之前，Huracan迎来了Justicia的防守，并且在球场上表现得更好——总共射门27次，还有5次进球机会。xG值为2.41 ~ 0.57。客队的索托在上半场快结束时被罚下——当时比分是0-1。在第13轮比赛中，他们表现出色，在客场2-1击败中央科尔多瓦，在博彩市场上处于劣势。他们创造了更多的射门机会（5-2）和进球机会。它们在xG中的生成也比宿主多0.81。在此之前，他们在主场以5比0击败了蒙得维的亚竞技队，这是一支不错的乌拉圭球队。他们的射门次数、射正次数、进球机会和角球次数都更多。他们只允许访客在xG中使用0.43。然而，最后的比分确实让Huracan感到高兴。东道主在过去的四场比赛中只在90分钟内赢了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们很幸运地在客场从圣菲联盟那里得到了一分。东道主还有12次射门，准确地说是14比2。纽维尔男孩队的进攻缺乏速度、结构和创造力。东道主在总射门数上也多出了10次，在xG上多出了1.29次。纽维尔老男孩队在这两支球队之间的最近五场比赛中没有赢过一场。他们上一次交锋是在2024年11月，胡拉坎以4比2的比分取得了胜利！

好运！