In my opinion Barcelona have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Barcelona have amazing record against Sevilla as they didn't lost against them in 27 of last 28 La Liga matches! They have as well very strong record at this stadium. Blaugrana didn't lost in 17 of last 20 matches at Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan . Barcelona went unbeaten in last 5 away La Liga matches against Sevilla. In addition to that Barcelona never lost La Liga match played on away at Tuesday (9 wins in 13 matches).

Sevilla results at home looks very strong so far, but according to the expect goals model they had a lot of luck. They scored 20 goals in 8 home matches so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 12.97. They conceded 7 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 9.56. It's huge difference at both sides of the pitch. Their luck can't last forever. They recorded three very underserved league results in a row. 3 rounds ago they won 1:0 at home against Villarreal, but they shouldn't: expected goals scored for Sevilla 0.58, for Villarreal 1.90. 2 rounds ago they won 1:0 on away against Bilbao, but they shouldn't: expected goals scored for Sevilla 0.28, for Bilbao 2.31. In last round they won against Atletico 2:1, but once again they didn't deserved to get 3 points in that game: expected goals scored for Sevilla 0.36, for Atletico 1.38. In addition to that Sevilla have some squad questions before today's match, 5 players which played against Atletico are doubtful today. 2 key defenders: Acuna and Diego Carlos, 2 important defenders: Montiel and Augustinsson and key striker Ocampos (5 goals and 2 assists in last 9 Sevilla matches in all competitions).

On the other hand Barcelona don't have any new absences and their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. So far Barcelona didn't lost in 5 of 7 away La Liga matches, but they even played better than their results shows. They scored 9 goals on away, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.37. They conceded 10, but they should 9.35. Since Xavi came to the club improvement is visible round after round. He made 10 of available 15 La Liga points. Youngsters growing under his wing, everyone trust for him and want fight for him. He said: "Tomorrow is another final for us so we will try to win the match. We know it will be difficult against Sevilla because they are in a good moment, they have a very good team, they have a very important coach and it will be very difficult for us.But we are very excited, enthusiastic to get the three points so we can go into the Christmas break, rest and come back stronger in January." Barcelona should be able to score against depleted Sevilla defensive formation-they scored more than one goal in 3 of last 4 matches, in each of those 4 games they had expected goals scored number above 1.35. Barcelona have a lot of options upfront-they have already 15 different goalscorers in current season (the biggest number in whole league). On the other hand Barcelona in last three La Liga matches allowed opponents to make only 21 shots. Experienced central defender Pique back to the team and that should be big boost of confidence. Barcelona goalkeeper Ter Stegen have special motivation to keep clean sheet today, this is match #300 for him today.

Pressure is on Sevilla-they are playing at home, they are higher in table and they are favorites according to the bookies and experts, but they tends to crack under the pressure-we saw it in their last Champions League group match where they lost against Salzburg on away and they have been eliminated. Barcelona have nothing to lose and they wants to prove something for everyone.

Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui in his managerial career played 7 matches against Barcelona and recorded only one win.

I see really good value on away side, they are simply underrated.

在我看来，巴塞罗那有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

巴塞罗那对阵塞维利亚的战绩令人惊叹，因为他们在过去的 28 场西甲比赛中有 27 场没有输给他们！他们在这个体育场也有非常出色的战绩。他们在拉蒙桑切斯皮斯胡安球场的过去 20 场比赛中有 17 场没有输球。巴萨近5场西甲客场对阵塞维利亚保持不败。除此之外，巴塞罗那从未输过周二在客场进行的西甲比赛（13场比赛中9胜）。

到目前为止，塞维利亚在主场的成绩看起来非常强劲，但根据预期进球模型，他们运气很好。到目前为止，他们在8场主场比赛中打进了20个进球，但按照预期进球模型，他们应该只有12.97个进球。他们丢了7个球，但按照预期的丢球模型，他们应该丢9.56个。差异很大。他们的运气不可能永远持续下去。他们连续三场比赛的联赛结果不符合预期了。三轮前，他们在主场以 1:0 战胜比利亚雷亚尔，但他们不配取胜：塞维利亚的预期进球数为 0.58，比利亚雷亚尔的预期进球数为 1.90。两轮前，他们在客场以 1:0 战胜毕尔巴鄂：塞维利亚的预期进球数为 0.28，毕尔巴鄂的预期进球数为 2.31。上一轮他们以 2:1 战胜了马竞，但他们在那场比赛中再次不配得到 3 分：塞维利亚的预期进球数为 0.36，马竞为 1.38。除了在今天的比赛前有一些阵容问题之外，今天对阵马竞的5名球员都存在疑问。 两名关键后卫：阿库纳和迭戈·卡洛斯，2 名重要后卫：蒙蒂尔和奥古斯丁森以及关键前锋奥坎波斯（塞维利亚最近 9 场各项赛事的 5 球和 2 次助攻）。

另一方面，巴塞罗那没有任何新的缺席，他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。到目前为止，巴塞罗那在西甲客场的 7 场比赛中 5 场保持不败，但他们的表现甚至比结果显示的要好。他们在客场打进了9球，但根据预期进球模型，他们的预期进球为11.37。他们丢了 10球，但预测失球是 9.35。自从哈维来到俱乐部后，球队的进步是明显的。他在可用的 15 分中拿到了 10 个。在他的羽翼下成长的年轻人，每个人都信任他，都想为他而战。他说：“明天对我们来说又是一场决赛，所以我们将努力赢得比赛。我们知道对阵塞维利亚会很困难，因为他们处于绝佳的状态，是一支非常好的球队，他们还有一位非常出色的教练，对我们来说将是非常困难的。但我们很期待拿到三分，这样我们就可以进入圣诞假期，好好休息，然后在一月份以更强大的方式回归。”巴塞罗那应该能够在塞维利亚的防守阵型中取得进球——他们在过去 4 场比赛中的 3 场比赛中打进一球以上，在这 4 场比赛中，他们预计每场比赛的进球数都在 1.35 以上。巴塞罗那在前场有很多选择——他们本赛季已经有15名不同的球员进球（西甲最多）。另一方面，巴塞罗那在最近三场西甲比赛中只让对手射门21次。经验丰富的中后卫皮克回到球队，这应该会大大增强信心。巴塞罗那门将特尔施特根今天有动力保持零封，这是他今天的第 300 场比赛。

塞维利亚面临压力——他们在主场比赛，他们在积分榜上排名更高，根据机构的态度，他们是很受欢迎的，但他们往往会在压力下崩溃——在他们上一场欧冠小组赛中输给了萨尔茨堡客场被淘汰。巴塞罗那没有什么可失去的，他们想要为自己正名。

塞维利亚主帅洛佩特吉在执教生涯中与巴萨交手7场，只取得一场胜利。

选择客队有很好的价值，他们只是被低估了。