Kashima Antlers VS Nagoya Grampus

Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus lock horns for this J1 League round 12 battle Kashima Soccer Stadium Kashima Friday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of Japanese football. By global standards this league is of somewhat mediocre level but Asian standards it is high! Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here. We have won five of the last seven picks betting on this league and eight of the last nine picks in all competitions. The teams last locked horns in November 2024. It was a goalless draw but the hosts, Kashima Antlers, recorded four more total shots and one more corner kick than the visitors. The Antlers performed pretty well – taking into account that their player, Y. Suzuki was sent off i n the 58th minute. About a year ago The Antlers crushed Nagoya Grampus 3-0 on the road, allowing the hosts only one shot on goal and just 0.34 in xG! The Antlers did much better than Nagoya Grampus last season. Indeed, the hosts took a fine 65 points and had a score difference of 60:41 – finishing in 5th place. Nagoya ended up in 11th place – with 15 points less than The Antlers. Their goal difference was poor - 44:47 to be precise. They have had a poor start to the season – currently occupying 17th place with only 11 points in their pocket. They have netted the ball 13 times and have conceded 20 goals. This is clearly the biggest number in this league! Even Yokohama F. Marinos, the rock-bottom team, have allowed “only” 17 goals. Indeed, the visitors' defensive structure has been far from great and silly individual mistakes have been common.. I believe the hosts will be active here – putting big pressure on the visitors' shaky defence. Nagoya have lost four of the five away games in this league so far. Their score difference in these games is abysmal - 4-14.  Yes, Nagoya do have  potential for some improvement but the bookmakers seem to give this factor too much emphasis. Indeed, the biggest bookies with the largest stake limits offer odds of around 2.10-2.15 on the host to send the visitors home empty-handed. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis the Antlers have – with the expected lineups and boosted by their fans - a 53.50% chance of winning.

The hosts have started the season very well and are in 3rd place in the standings. They have taken 19 points, only two less than Kyoto, the current leaders. They did, in all honesty, also had some good luck in the first  rounds of this league. However, recently they have been somewhat unlucky in some games. They have a fine score difference of 18:11 and have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game. In their last game they beat Okayama 2-1 away from home. The Antlers deserved the three points as they had close to 60% ball possession - recording more total shots and three more big scoring chances – 4-1 to be precise. The xG numbers were 1.71-1.13 in the visitors' favour. Nagoya Grampus have lost three of their last four games. In their last match they beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 at home but this was a very lucky win! Indeed, the visitors had a very high 67% ball possession and recorded seven more total shots and two more shots on target – 4-2. Nagoya failed to record any big scoring chances and generated a pathetic 0.27 in expected goals (xG). Before this they lost to Toyama 1-2 after penalties on the road. I want to mention that Toyama, a pretty small team, play in the 2nd tier.. Nagoya were, of course, clear favourites to qualify. Toyama could easily have eliminated the disappointing Nagoyama in the 90 minutes of play as they recorded more total shots, shots on goal – as well as corner kicks – 6-1. Before this Nagoya were almost hilariously poor, despite losing only 0-2 to Gamba Osaka on the road. The hosts recorded 15 more total shots and did not allow Nagoya any shots on goal! They also recorded seven big scoring chances – the totally toothless Nagoya had none. The xG numbers were 3.01- 0.09! In round 9, some three weeks ago, Nagoya lost to Shonan Bellmare 1-2 but were not terrible as a whole.. The hosts did, however, generate more in xG. Nagoya failed to record any big chances – the hosts had two.

GOOD LUCK!

鹿岛鹿角VS名古屋鹿角

北京时间周五晚上，鹿岛鹿角队和名古屋野猪队将在J1联赛第12轮比赛中对阵鹿岛足球场。这是日本足球的第一梯队。以全球标准来看，这个联赛是中等水平，但以亚洲标准来看，它是很高的！足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。我们在过去的7次选秀中赢了5次，在过去的9次选秀中赢了8次。两队上一次交锋是在2024年11月。双方0比0战平，但主队鹿岛鹿角队比客队多射了4次球和1次角球。考虑到他们的球员铃木在第58分钟被罚下，鹿角队的表现相当不错。大约一年前，鹿角队在客场3-0大胜名古屋格兰普斯队，东道主只有一次射门机会，射门命中率也只有0.34 ！鹿角队上赛季的表现比名古屋队好得多。事实上，东道主拿了整整65分，比分差距为60:41，排在第五名。名古屋最终排在第11位，比鹿角队少15分。他们的净胜球很差，准确地说是44:47。他们本赛季开局不佳，目前仅以11分排名第17位。他们有13次进球，丢了20个球。这显然是联盟中最大的数字！就连排名垫底的横滨f马里诺斯队也“只”丢了17个球。事实上，客队的防守结构远非完美，个人愚蠢的失误屡见不实。我相信主队在这里会很活跃，给客队摇摇欲坠的防线施加很大的压力。到目前为止，名古屋在联赛的5场客场比赛中输掉了4场。他们在这些比赛中的比分差简直糟透了——4比14。是的，名古屋确实有一些改进的潜力，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这一点。事实上，拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司开出的赔率约为2.10-2.15，认为东道主会让访客空手而归。根据我以数据为基础的专家分析，鹿角队在预期阵容和球迷的支持下，有53.50%的获胜机会。

东道主本赛季开局不错，目前排名第三。他们已经取得了19分，只比目前的领先者京都少2分。说实话，他们在这个联盟的首轮也有一些好运气。然而，最近他们在一些比赛中有些不走运。他们的比分相差18:11，在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势。在上一场比赛中，他们客场2-1击败了冈山队。鹿角队理应得到这三分，因为他们有接近60%的控球率——记录了更多的射门和三次更大的得分机会——准确地说是4比1。xG值为1.71-1.13，对客队有利。名古屋格兰普斯最近四场比赛输了三场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了广岛圣弗雷斯，但这是一场非常幸运的胜利！事实上，客队的控球率高达67%，总射门次数多了7次，射正次数多了2次——4-2。名古屋未能创造出任何重大进球机会，预期进球数（xG）仅为可怜的0.27。在此之前，他们在客场点球后以1-2不敌富山。我想提一下富山，一支相当小的队伍，在第二梯队打球。名古屋当然是出线的大热门。富山本可以在90分钟的比赛中轻松淘汰令人失望的Nagoyama，因为他们以6-1的比分获得了更多的射门次数，射门次数和角球次数。在此之前，名古屋队的表现糟糕得令人哭笑，尽管他们在客场只0-2输给了大阪钢巴。东道主总共射门15次，名古屋没有射门！他们还创造了7次重要的得分机会，而完全没有牙齿的名古屋没有机会。xG值为3.01- 0.09！在大约三周前的第九轮比赛中，名古屋1-2输给了南贝尔马，但整体来说并不可怕。然而，主机确实在xG中产生了更多。名古屋没有创造出任何重要机会——东道主有两个机会。

好运！